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行業研究行業研究金融行業信息點評證券研究報告公募交易傭金率調整方案征求意見,公募基金費改進入第二階段 投資要點:投資要點:【事件】證監會發布《關于加強公開募集證券投資基金證券交易管理的規定(征求意見稿1)合理調降公募基金的證券交易傭金費率;2)降低證券交易傭金分配比例上限;3)強化公募基總支出情況的披露要求。公募基金交易傭金預計下滑42%,或對券商整體業績影響有限。本次傭金調被動股票型基金的交易傭金費率原則上不超過其他類型基金通過交易傭金支付研究服務費用的,傭金費率原則上不超過市場平均傭金費率的兩倍。以2022年數據測算,公募基金股票交易傭金將由18810942%2023年上半年上市券商機構3.4%18.7%,我們認為對券商整可能影響略大。進一步降低單一券商傭金分配比例上限。30%,我們認為若進一步降低,參控股大基金的券商可能受一定影響。但對于股票型、10早期綁定券商深度合作留下一定空間。券結基金有望保持增長勢頭。征求意見稿明確券結基金不適用于傭金分配比例上限的規定,具有更大的靈活性,因此我們認為券結模式將成為基金公司2019年試點轉常規以來23129868只,669520193%明顯提升。進一步規范交易傭金的分配。征求意見稿明確嚴禁將券商選擇、交易單元租用、交易傭金分配等與基金銷售規模、保有規模掛鉤,嚴禁向第三方轉移支2007此次規范后,我們認為交易傭金將與基金銷售等軟傭松綁,研究實力強的券商集中度有望提升。(20231213日券商行業平均估1.2x2023E重點推薦:中信證券、、中金公司等。風險提示:資本市場大幅下跌帶來業績和估值的雙重壓力。請務必閱讀正文之后的信息披露和法律聲明表22023H1上市券商交易單元席位租賃凈收入及占比(億元)交易單元席位租賃凈收入經紀業務凈收入營業收入占經紀業務收入比重占營業收入比重國盛金控2.244.088.9854.8%24.9%天風證券3.485.1621.6067.4%16.1%華創云信2.294.8615.1947.1%15.1%長江證券5.3714.5338.3236.9%14.0%華西證券1.577.7820.2120.1%7.8%信達證券1.233.6018.9734.3%6.5%國海證券1.303.3720.7738.7%6.3%華鑫股份0.613.2010.3219.2%6.0%興業證券3.8711.6369.3833.3%5.6%國金證券1.827.5633.2724.1%5.5%東吳證券2.787.4853.3837.2%5.2%西南證券0.692.8814.7224.1%4.7%招商證券4.6527.02107.9417.2%4.3%方正證券1.7214.4540.5411.9%4.3%中信建投5.4823.83134.6523.0%4.1%中金公司4.9724.39124.2120.4%4.0%廣發證券5.3027.78132.3819.1%4.0%首創證券0.341.058.5032.0%4.0%東方證券3.429.8186.9534.9%3.9%光大證券2.2312.8861.7917.3%3.6%申萬宏源4.0620.47122.4019.8%3.3%浙商證券2.669.0984.5629.3%3.1%西部證券1.164.1039.3528.3%3.0%國聯證券0.532.6118.0720.3%2.9%太平洋0.201.707.4911.6%2.6%國泰君安4.8030.26183.3415.9%2.6%中銀證券0.423.8815.9210.7%2.6%長城證券0.563.2922.0017.1%2.6%中信證券7.9248.00315.0016.5%2.5%財通證券0.865.7834.7514.9%2.5%華泰證券3.9928.49183.6914.0%2.2%第一創業0.311.7614.4517.7%2.2%華安證券0.414.0919.0610.0%2.2%東興證券0.363.2218.1811.2%2.0%國投資本1.6314.8084.2011.0%1.9%國信證券1.5821.3082.087.4%1.9%錦龍股份0.030.821.533.2%1.7%山西證券0.282.2218.9212.4%1.5%哈投股份0.191.1615.3316.4%1.2%華林證券0.062.224.702.5%1.2%湘財股份0.112.3712.894.4%0.8%中國銀河1.3828.84174.144.8%0.8%國元證券0.214.1731.115.1%0.7%南京證券0.031.9812.951.6%0.2%財達證券0.032.7312.281.1%0.2%紅塔證券0.010.777.800.8%0.1%中原證券0.002.2310.460.0%0.0%資料來源:各公司2023中報,HTIAPPENDIX1SummaryKeyInvestmentPoints:[Event]TheChinaSecuritiesRegulatoryCommission(CSRC)hasissuedadraftregulationtostrengthenthemanagementofsecuritiestradingbypubliclyofferedfunds,whichincludesmeasurestolowertransactioncommissionsandrequirementsforannualexpendituredisclosuresinbrokerageservices.Publicfunds’transactioncommissionratesareanticipatedtodeclineby42%,influencingbrokerages’overallperformanceminimally.Thisadjustmentvariesandisdynamic.Notably,thetransactioncommissionratesforpassiveequityfundsshallnotexceedthemarketaverage,whileotherfundspayingforresearchservicesthroughcommissionscanchargeuptotwicetheaveragemarketrate.In2022,commissionsdroppedfromRMB18.8billiontoRMB10.9billion,a42%reduction.Giventhatinthefirsthalfof2023,brokeragecommissionscontributedjust3.4%tolistedbrokers’revenueand18.7%tobrokerageincome,theimpactonoverallperformanceshouldbelimited.BrokerageslikeGuosheng,Tianfeng,Huachuang,andChangjiang,withhighercommissionratios,mightbeslightlymoreaffected.Thedraftalsoproposesfurtherrestrictionsonthemaximumcommissiondistributionbyasinglebrokerage.Thoughit’scappedat30%,reducingitfurthermayimpactbrokeragesassociatedwithcontrollinglargefunds.However,forequityandmixedfundsunderRMB1billion,the30%capremains,allowingforearly-stagefundstocultivatein-depthcooperationwithbrokerages.Thebond-linkedfundmodelshouldcontinuetogrow.Thenewdraftexemptsitfromcommissioncaps,boostingitsflexibility.Sincebecomingregularin2019,fundsusingthismodelincreasedto868,managingRMB669.5billionasofDecember9,2023.Sincethebeginningoftheyear,theirshareofnewfundsgrewto15.6%fromjust3%in2019.Thedraftwillfurtherstandardizecommissiondistributions,prohibitingpracticestyingbrokerageselectionandcommissiondistributiontofundsalesorscaleandforbiddingfeetransferstothirdparties.Thisshoulduntiesoftcommissionsfromfundsalesandcouldcentralizecommissionstowardbrokerswithstrongresearchcapabilities.Inlightoflowbrokeragesectorvaluations(1.2x2023EP/BasofDecember13,2023),werecommendfocusingondistinctivequalitybrokerageslikeCITICSecurities,HaitongSecurities,andCICC.Riskalert:Capitalmarketdownturnscoulddouble-hitperformanceandvaluations.附錄APPENDIX重要信息披露本研究報告由海通國際分銷,海通國際是由海通國際研究有限公司(HTIRL),HaitongSecuritiesIndiaPrivateLimited(HSIPL),HaitongInternationalJapanK.K.(HTIJKK)和海通國際證券有限公司(HTISCL)的證券研究團隊所組成的全球品牌,海通國際證券集團(HTISG)各成員分別在其許可的司法管轄區內從事證券活動。IMPORTANTDISCLOSURESThisresearchreportisdistributedbyHaitongInternational,aglobalbrandnamefortheequityresearchteamsofHaitongInternationalResearchLimited(“HTIRL”),HaitongSecuritiesIndiaPrivateLimited(“HSIPL”),HaitongInternationalJapanK.K.(“HTIJKK”),HaitongInternationalSecuritiesCompanyLimited(“HTISCL”),andanyothermemberswithintheHaitongInternationalSecuritiesGroupofCompanies(“HTISG”),eachauthorizedtoengageinsecuritiesactivitiesinitsrespectivejurisdiction.HTIRL分析師認證AnalystCertification:我,孫婷,在此保證(i)本研究報告中的意見準確反映了我們對本研究中提及的任何或所有目標公司或上市公司的個人觀點,并且(ii)我的報酬中沒有任何部分與本研究報告中表達的具體建議或觀點直接或間接相關;及就此報告中所討論目標公司的證券,我們(包括我們的家屬)在其中均不持有任何財務利益。我和我的家屬(我已經告知他們)將不會在本研究報3個工作日內交易此研究報告所討論目標公司的證券。I,TingSuncertifythatitheviewsexpressedinthisresearchreportaccuratelyreflectmypersonalviewsaboutanyorallofthesubjectcompaniesorissuersreferredtointhisresearchandiinopartofmycompensationwasisorwillbedirectlyorindirectlyrelatedtothespecificrecommendationsorviewsexpressedinthisresearchreport;andthatI(includingmembersofmyhousehold)havenofinancialinterestinthesecurityorsecuritiesofthesubjectcompaniesdiscussed.Iandmyhousehold,whomIhavealreadynotifiedofthis,willnotdealinortradeanysecuritiesinrespectoftheissuerthatIreviewwithin3businessdaysaftertheresearchreportispublished.利益沖突披露ConflictofInterestDisclosures海通國際及其某些關聯公司可從事投資銀行業務和/或對本研究中的特定股票或公司進行做市或持有自營頭寸。就本研究報告而言,以下是有關該等關系的披露事項(以下披露不能保證及時無遺漏,如需了解及時全面信息,請發郵件至ERD-Disclosure@)HTIandsomeofitsaffiliatesmayengageininvestmentbankingand/orserveasamarketmakerorholdproprietarytradingpositionsofcertainstocksorcompaniesinthisresearchreport.Asfarasthisresearchreportisconcerned,thefollowingarethedisclosuremattersrelatedtosuchrelationship(Asthefollowingdisclosuredoesnotensuretimelinessandcompleteness,pleasesendanemailtoERD-Disclosure@iftimelyandcomprehensiveinformationisneeded).海通證券股份有限公司和/或其子公司(統稱“海通”)12000776.CHand601456.CH的投資銀行項目。投資銀行項目包括:1、海通擔任上市前輔導機構、保薦人或主承銷商的首次公開發行項目;2、海通作為保薦人、主承銷商或財務顧問的股權或債務再融資項目;3、海通作為主經紀商的新三板上市、目標配售和并購項目。HaitongSecuritiesCo.,Ltd.and/oritssubsidiaries(collectively,the"Haitong")havearoleininvestmentbankingprojectsof000776.CHand601456.CHwithinthepast12months.Theinvestmentbankingprojectsinclude1.IPOprojectsinwhichHaitongactedaspre-listingtutor,sponsor,orlead-underwriter;2.equityordebtrefinancingprojectsof000776.CHand601456.CHforwhichHaitongactedassponsor,lead-underwriterorfinancialadvisor;3.listingbyintroductioninthenewthreeboard,targetplacement,M&AprojectsinwhichHaitongactedaslead-brokeragefirm.600030.CH,601688.CH,601995.CH,000783.CH,601377.CH,600109.CH,601555.CH,600369.CH,600999.CH,民生南昌3號定向資產管理計劃,000776.CH,600958.CH,601788.CH,601878.CH,601211.CH,002797.CH,600909.CH,601881.CH,000728.CH及601375.CH目前或過去12個月內是海通的客戶。海通向客戶提供非投資銀行業務的證券相關業務服務。600030.CH,601688.CH,601995.CH,000783.CH,601377.CH,600109.CH,601555.CH,600369.CH,600999.CH,民生南昌3號定向資產管理計劃,000776.CH,600958.CH,601788.CH,601878.CH,601211.CH,002797.CH,600909.CH,601881.CH,000728.CHand601375.CHare/wereaclientofHaitongcurrentlyorwithinthepast12months.Theclienthasbeenprovidedfornon-investment-bankingsecurities-relatedservices.600030.CH,601995.CH,601377.CH,600109.CH,601555.CH,600369.CH,600999.CH,601066.CH,000776.CH,600958.CH,601788.CH,601456.CH,601211.CH,601108.CH,600909.CH及601881.CH目前或過去12個月內是海通的客戶。海通向客戶提供非證券業務服務。600030.CH,601995.CH,601377.CH,600109.CH,601555.CH,600369.CH,600999.CH,601066.CH,000776.CH,600958.CH,601788.CH,601456.CH,601211.CH,601108.CH,600909.CHand601881.CHare/wereaclientofHaitongcurrentlyorwithinthepast12months.Theclienthasbeenprovidedfornon-securitiesservices.海通在過去的12個月中從600030.CH,601688.CH,601995.CH,000783.CH,600109.CH,經查,統計期做過期貨交易,600999.CH,000776.CH,600958.CH,601788.CH,601878.CH,601211.CH及000728.CH獲得除投資銀行服務以外之產品或服務的報酬。Haitonghasreceivedcompensationinthepast12monthsforproductsorservicesotherthaninvestmentbankingfrom600030.CH,601688.CH,601995.CH,000783.CH,600109.CH,經查,統計期做過期貨交易,600999.CH,000776.CH,600958.CH,601788.CH,601878.CH,601211.CHand000728.CH.海通國際證券集團有限公司(“海通國際”)有雇員或與關聯人士擔任600958.CH的職員。HaitongInternationalSecuritiesGroupLtd.("HaitongInternational")havinganindividualemployedbyorassociatedwithHaitongInternationalservingasanofficerof600958.CH.評級定義(從2020年7月1日開始執行):海通國際(以下簡稱“HTI”)采用相對評級系統來為投資者推薦我們覆蓋的公HTI的評級定義。并且HTI發布分析師觀點的完整信息,投資者應仔細閱讀全文而非僅看評級。在任何情況下,分析師的評級和研究都不能作為投資建議。投資者的買賣股票的決策應基于各自情況(比如投資者的現有持倉)以及其他因素。
評級分布RatingDistribution 分析師股票評級優于大市12-1810%以上,基準定義如下中性12-18個月內預期相對基準指數變化不大,基準定義如下。根據FINRA/NYSE的評級分布規則,我們會將中性評級劃入持有這一類別。弱于大市,未來12-18個月內預期相對基準指數跌幅在10%以上,基準定義如下各地股票基準指數:日本–TOPIX,韓國–KOSPI,臺灣–TAIEX,印度–Nifty100,美國–SP500;其他所有中國概念股–MSCIChina.RatingsDefinitions(from1Jul2020):HaitongInternationalusesarelativeratingsystemusingOutperform,Neutral,orUnderperformforrecommendingthestockswecovertoinvestors.InvestorsshouldcarefullyreadthedefinitionsofallratingsusedinHaitongInternationalResearch.Inaddition,sinceHaitongInternationalResearchcontainsmorecompleteinformationconcerningtheanalyst'sviews,investorsshouldcarefullyreadHaitongInternationalResearch,initsentirety,andnotinferthecontentsfromtheratingalone.Inanycase,ratings(orresearch)shouldnotbeusedorrelieduponasinvestmentadvice.Aninvestor'sdecisiontobuyorsellastockshoulddependonindividualcircumstances(suchastheinvestor'sexistingholdings)andotherconsiderations.AnalystStockRatingsOutperform:Thestock’stotalreturnoverthenext12-18monthsisexpectedtoexceedthereturnofitsrelevantbroadmarketbenchmark,asindicatedbelow.Neutral:Thestock’stotalreturnoverthenext12-18monthsisexpectedtobeinlinewiththereturnofitsrelevantbroadmarketbenchmark,asindicatedbelow.ForpurposesonlyofFINRA/NYSEratingsdistributionrules,ourNeutralratingfallsintoaholdratingcategory.Underperform:Thestock’stotalreturnoverthenext12-18monthsisexpectedtobebelowthereturnofitsrelevantbroadmarketbenchmark,asindicatedbelow.Benchmarksforeachstock’slistedregionareasfollows:Japan–TOPIX,Korea–KOSPI,Taiwan–TAIEX,India–Nifty100,US–SP500;forallotherChina-conceptstocks–MSCIChina. 截至2023年9月30日海通國際股票研究評級分布優于大市 中性 弱于大市(持有)海通國際股票研究覆蓋率 89.3% 1.1% 9.6%投資銀行客戶* 3.9% 5.8% 10.0%*在每個評級類別里投資銀行客戶所占的百分比。上述分布中的買入,中性和賣出分別對應我們當前優于大市,中性和落后大市評級。只有根據FINRA/NYSE的評級分布規則,我們才將中性評級劃入持有這一類別。請注意在上表中不包含非評級的股票。此前的評級系統定義(直至2020年6月30日):買入,未來12-18個月內預期相對基準指數漲幅在10%以上,基準定義如下中性,未來12-18FINRA/NYSE的評級分布規則,我們會將中性評級劃入持有這一類別。賣出,未來12-18個月內預期相對基準指數跌幅在10%以上,基準定義如下各地股票基準指數:日本–TOPIX,韓國–KOSPI,臺灣–TAIEX,印度–Nifty100;其他所有中國概念股–MSCIChina.HaitongInternationalEquityResearchRatingsDistribution,asofSeptember30,2023OutperformNeutralUnderperformHTIEquityResearchCoverage89.3%1.1%9.6%IBclients*3.9%5.8%10.0%*Percentageofinvestmentbankingclientsineachratingcategory. BUY,Neutral,andSELLintheabovedistributioncorrespondtoourcurrentratingsofOutperform,Neutral,andUnderperform.ForpurposesonlyofFINRA/NYSEratingsdistributionrules,ourNeutralratingfallsintoaholdratingcategory.PleasenotethatstockswithanNRdesignationarenotincludedinthetableabove.Previousratingsystemdefinitions(until30Jun2020):BUY:Thestock’stotalreturnoverthenext12-18monthsisexpectedtoexceedthereturnofitsrelevantbroadmarketbenchmark,asindicatedbelow.NEUTRAL:Thestock’stotalreturnoverthenext12-18monthsisexpectedtobeinlinewiththereturnofitsrelevantbroadmarketbenchmark,asindicatedbelow.ForpurposesonlyofFINRA/NYSEratingsdistributionrules,ourNeutralratingfallsintoaholdratingcategory.SELL:Thestock’stotalreturnoverthenext12-18monthsisexpectedtobebelowthereturnofitsrelevantbroadmarketbenchmark,asindicatedbelow.Benchmarksforeachstock’slistedregionareasfollows:Japan–TOPIX,Korea–KOSPI,Taiwan–TAIEX,India–Nifty100;forallotherChina-conceptstocks–MSCIChina.海通國際非評級研究:海通國際發布計量、篩選或短篇報告,并在報告中根據估值和其他指標對股票進行排名,或者基于可能的估值倍數提出建議價格。這種排名或建議價格并非為了進行股票評級、提出目標價格或進行基本面估值,而僅供參考使用。HaitongInternationalNon-RatedResearch:HaitongInternationalpublishesquantitative,screeningorshortreportswhichmayrankstocksaccordingtovaluationandothermetricsormaysuggestpricesbasedonpossiblevaluationmultiples.Suchrankingsorsuggestedpricesdonotpurporttobestockratingsortargetpricesorfundamentalvaluesandareforinformationonly.海通國際A股覆蓋:海通國際可能會就滬港通及深港通的中國A股進行覆蓋及評級。海通證券(600837.CH),海通國際于上海的母公司,也會于中國發布中國A股的研究報告。但是,海通國際使用與海通證券不同的評級系統,所以海通國際與海通證券的中國A股評級可能有所不同。HaitongInternationalCoverageofA-Shares:HaitongInternationalmaycoverandrateA-SharesthataresubjecttotheHongKongStockConnectschemewithShanghaiandShenzhen.HaitongSecurities(HS;600837CH),theultimateparentcompanyofHTISGbasedinShanghai,coversandpublishesresearchonthesesameA-SharesfordistributioninmainlandChina.However,theratingsystememployedbyHSdiffersfromthatusedbyHTIandasaresulttheremaybeadifferenceintheHTIandHSratingsforthesameA-sharestocks.海通國際優質100A股(Q100)指數:海通國際Q100指數是一個包括100支由海通證券覆蓋的優質中國A股的計量產品。這些股票是通過基于質量的篩選過程,并結合對海通證券A股團隊自下而上的研究。海通國際每季對Q100指數成分作出復審。HaitongInternationalQuality100A-share(Q100)Index:HTI’sQ100Indexisaquantproductthatconsistsof100ofthehighest-qualityA-sharesundercoverageatHSinShanghai.Thesestocksarecarefullyselectedthroughaquality-basedscreeningprocessincombinationwithareviewoftheHSA-shareteam’sbottom-upresearch.TheQ100constituentcompaniesarereviewedquarterly.盟浪義利(FIN-ESG)數據通免責聲明條款:在使用盟浪義利(FIN-ESG)數據之前,請務必仔細閱讀本條款并同意本聲明:第一條義利(FIN-ESG)數據系由盟浪可持續數字科技有限責任公司(以下簡稱“本公司”)基于合法取得的公開信息評估而成,本公司對信息的準確性及完整性不作任何保證。對公司的評估結果僅供參考,并不構成對任何個人或機構投資建議,也不能作為任何個人或機構購買、出售或持有相關金融產品的依據。本公司不對任何個人或機構投資者因使用本數據表述的評估結果造成的任何直接或間接損失負責。第二條盟浪并不因收到此評估數據而將收件人視為客戶,收件人使用此數據時應根據自身實際情況作出自我獨立判斷。本數據所載內容反映的是盟浪在最初發布本數據日期當日的判斷,盟浪有權在不發出通知的情況下更新、修訂與發出其他與本數據所載內容不一致或有不同結論的數據。除非另行說明,本數據(如財務業績數據等)僅代表過往表現,過往的業績表現不作為日后回報的預測。第三條本數據版權歸本公司所有,本公司依法保留各項權利。未經本公司事先書面許可授權,任何個人或機構不得將本數據中的評估結果用于任何營利性目的,不得對本數據進行修改、復制、編譯、匯編、再次編輯、改編、刪減、縮寫、節選、發行、出租、展覽、表演、放映、廣播、信息網絡傳播、攝制、增加圖標及說明等,否則因此給盟浪或其他第三方造成損失的,由用戶承擔相應的賠償責任,盟浪不承擔責任。第四條如本免責聲明未約定,而盟浪網站平臺載明的其他協議內容(如《盟浪網站用戶注冊協議》《盟浪網用戶服務(含認證)協議》《盟浪網隱私政策》等)有約定的,則按其他協議的約定執行;若本免責聲明與其他協議約定存在沖突或不一致的,則以本免責聲明約定為準。SusallWaveFIN-ESGDataServiceDisclaimer:PleasereadthesetermsandconditionsbelowcarefullyandconfirmyouragreementandacceptancewiththesetermsbeforeusingSusallWaveFIN-ESGDataService.FIN-ESGDataisproducedbySusallWaveDigitalTechnologyCo.,Ltd.(Inshort,SusallWave)’sassessmentbasedonlegalpubliclyaccessibleinformation.SusallWaveshallnotberesponsibleforanyaccuracyandcompletenessoftheinformation.Theassessmentresultisforreferenceonly.Itisnotforanyinvestmentadviceforanyindividualorinstitutionandnotforbasisofpurchasing,sellingorholdinganyrelativefinancialproducts.WewillnotbeliableforanydirectorindirectlossofanyindividualorinstitutionasaresultofusingSusallWaveFIN-ESGData.SusallWavedonotconsiderrecipientsascustomersforreceivingthesedata.Whenusingthedata,recipientsshallmakeyourownindependentjudgmentaccordingtoyourpracticalindividualstatus.Thecontentsofthedatareflectthejudgmentofusonlyonthereleaseday.Wehaverighttoupdateandamendthedataandreleaseotherdatathatcontainsinconsistentcontentsordifferentconclusionswithoutnotification.Unlessexpresslystated,thedata(e.g.,financialperformancedata)representspastperformanceonlyandthepastperformancecannotbeviewedasthepredictionoffuturereturn.TheofthisdatabelongstoSusallWave,andwereserveallrightsinaccordancewiththelaw.Withoutthepriorwrittenpermissionofourcompany,noneofindividualorinstitutioncanusethesedataforanyprofitablepurpose.Besides,noneofindividualorinstitutioncantakeactionssuchasamendment,replication,translation,compilation,re-editing,adaption,deletion,abbreviation,excerpts,issuance,rent,exhibition,performance,projection,broadcast,informationnetworktransmission,shooting,addingiconsandinstructions.IfanylossofSusallWaveoranythird-partyiscausedbythoseactions,usersshallbearthecorrespondingcompensationliability.SusallWaveshallnotberesponsibleforanyloss.Ifanytermisnotcontainedinthisdisclaimerbutwritteninotheragreementsonourwebsite(e.g.UserRegistrationProtocolofSusallWaveWebsite,UserService(includingauthentication)AgreementofSusallWaveWebsite,PrivacyPolicyofSusallwaveWebsite),itshouldbeexecutedaccordingtootheragreements.Ifthereisanydifferencebetweenthisdisclaimandotheragreements,thisdisclaimershallbeapplied.重要免責聲明:非印度證券的研究報告:本報告由海通國際證券集團有限公司(“HTISGL”)的全資附屬公司海通國際研究有限公司(“HTIRL”)發行,該公司是根據香港證券及期貨條例(第571章)持有第4類受規管活動(就證券提供意見)HTISGLHaitongInternational(JapanK.K.(“HTIJKK”)的協助下發行,HTIJKK是由日本關東財務局監管為投資顧問。印度證券的研究報告:SecuritiesandExchangeBoardofIndia(“SEBI”)監管的HaitongSecuritiesIndiaPrivateLimited(“HTSIPL”)所發BSELimited(“BSE”)和NationalStockExchangeofIndiaLimited(“NSE”)上市公司(統稱為「印度交易所」)的研究報告。HTSIPL于2016年1222日被收購并成為海通國際證券集團有限公司(“HTISG”)的一部分。所有研究報告均以海通國際為名作為全球品牌,經許可由海通國際證券股份有限公司及/或海通國際證券集團的其他成員在其司法管轄區發布。本文件所載信息和觀點已被編譯或源自可靠來源,但HTIRL、HTISCL或任何其他屬于海通國際證券集團有限公司(“HTISG”)的成員對其準確性、完整性和正確性不做任何明示或暗示的聲明或保證。本文件中所有觀點均截至本報告日期,如有更改,恕不另行通知。本文件僅供參考使用。文件中提及的任何公司或其股票的說明并非意圖展示完整的內容,本文件并非/不應被解釋為對證券買賣的明示或暗示地出價或征價。在某些司法管轄區,本文件中提及的證券可能無法進行買賣。如果投資產品以投資者本國貨幣以外的幣種進行計價,則匯率變化可能會對投資產生不利影響。過去的表現并不一定代表將來的結果。某些特定交易,包括設計金融衍生工具的,有產生重大風險的可能性,因此并不適合所有的投資者。您還應認識到本文件中的建議并非為您量身定制。分析師并未考慮到您自身的財務情況,如您的財務狀況和風險偏好。因此您必須自行分析并在適用的情況下咨詢自己的法律、稅收、會計、金融和其他方面的專業顧問,以期在投資之前評估該項建議是否適合于您。若由于使用本文件所載的材料而產生任何直接或間接的損失,HTISG及其董事、雇員或代理人對此均不承擔任何責任。除對本文內容承擔責任的分析師除外,HTISG及我們的關聯公司、高級管理人員、董事和雇員,均可不時作為主事人就本文件所述的任何證券或衍生品持有長倉或短倉以及進行買賣。HTISG的銷售員、交易員和其他專業人士均可向HTISG的相關客戶和公司提供與本文件所述意見相反的口頭或書面市場評論意見或交易策略。HTISG可做出與本文件所述建議或意見不一致的投資決策。但HTIRL沒有義務來確保本文件的收件人了解到該等交易決定、思路或建議。請訪問海通國際網站,查閱更多有關海通國際為預防和避免利益沖突設立的組織和行政安排的內容信息。非美國分析師披露信息:FINRA進行注冊或者取得相應的資格,并且不受美國FINRA有關與本項研究目標公司進行溝通、公開露面和自營2241條規則之限制。IMPORTANTDISCLAIMERForresearchreportsonnon-Indiansecurities:TheresearchreportisissuedbyHaitongInternationalResearchLimited(“HTIRL”),awhollyownedsubsidiaryofHaitongInternationalSecuritiesGroupLimited(“HTISGL”)andalicensedcorporationtocarryonType4regulatedactivity(advisingonsecurities)forthepurposeoftheSecuritiesandFuturesOrdinance(Cap.571)ofHongKong,withtheassistanceofHaitongInternational(Japan)K.K.(“HTIJKK”),awhollyownedsubsidiaryofHTISGLandwhichisregulatedasanInvestmentAdviserbytheKantoFinanceBureauofJapan.ForresearchreportsonIndiansecurities:TheresearchreportisissuedbyHaitongSecuritiesIndiaPrivateLimited(“HSIPL”),anIndiancompanyandaSecuritiesandExchangeBoardofIndia(“SEBI”)registeredStockBroker,MerchantBankerandResearchAnalystthat,interalia,producesanddistributesresearchreportscoveringlistedentitiesontheBSELimited(“BSE”)andtheNationalStockExchangeofIndiaLimited(“NSE”)(collectivelyreferredtoas“IndianExchanges”).HSIPLwasacquiredandbecamepartoftheHaitongInternationalSecuritiesGroupofCompanies(“HTISG”)on22December2016.AlltheresearchreportsaregloballybrandedunderthenameHaitongInternationalandapprovedfordistributionbyHaitongInternationalSecuritiesCompanyLimited(“HTISCL”)and/oranyothermemberswithinHTISGintheirrespectivejurisdictions.Theinformationandopinionscontainedinthisresearchreporthavebeencompiledorarrivedatfromsourcesbelievedtobereliableandingoodfaithbutnorepresentationorwarranty,expressorimplied,ismadebyHTIRL,HTISCL,HSIPL,HTIJKKoranyothermemberswithinHTISGfromwhichthisresearchreportmaybereceived,astotheiraccuracy,completenessorcorrectness.Allopinionsexpressedhereinareasofthedateofthisresearchreportandaresubjecttochangewithoutnotice.Thisresearchreportisforinformationpurposeonly.Descriptionsofanycompaniesortheirsecuritiesmentionedhereinarenotintendedtobecompleteandthisresearchreportisnot,andshouldnotbeconstruedexpresslyorimpliedlyas,anoffertobuyorsellsecurities.Thesecuritiesreferredtointhisresearchreportmaynotbeeligibleforpurchaseorsaleinsomejurisdictions.Ifaninvestmentproductisdenominatedinacurrencyotherthananinvestor'shomecurrency,achangeinexchangeratesmayadverselyaffecttheinvestment.Pastperformanceisnotnecessarilyindicativeoffutureresults.Certaintransactions,includingthoseinvolvingderivatives,giverisetosubstantialriskandarenotsuitableforallinvestors.Youshouldalsobearinmindthatrecommendationsinthisresearchreportarenottailor-madeforyou.Theanalysthasnottakenintoaccountyouruniquefinancialcircumstances,suchasyourfinancialsituationandriskappetite.Youmust,therefore,analyzeandshould,whereapplicable,consultyourownlegal,tax,accounting,financialandotherprofessionaladviserstoevaluatewhethertherecommendationssuitsyoubeforeinvestment.NeitherHTISGnoranyofitsdirectors,employeesoragentsacceptsanyliabilitywhatsoeverforanydirectorconsequentiallossarisingfromanyuseofthematerialscontainedinthisresearchreport.HTISGandouraffiliates,officers,directors,andemployees,excludingtheanalystsresponsibleforthecontentofthisdocument,willfromtimetotimehavelongorshortpositionsin,actasprincipalin,andbuyorsell,thesecuritiesorderivatives,ifany,referredtointhisresearchreport.Sales,traders,andotherprofessionalsofHTISGmayprovideoralorwrittenmarketcommentaryortradingstrategiestotherelevantclientsandthecompanieswithinHTISGthatreflectopinionsthatarecontrarytotheopinionsexpressedinthisresearchreport.HTISGmaymakeinvestmentdecisionsthatareinconsistentwiththerecommendationsorviewsexpressedinthisresearchreport.HTIisundernoobligationtoensurethatsuchothertradingdecisions,ideasorrecommendationsarebroughttotheattentionofanyrecipientofthisresearchreport.PleaserefertoHTI’swebsiteforfurtherinformationonHTI’sorganizationalandadministrativearrangementssetupforthepreventionandavoidanceofconflictsofinterestwithrespecttoResearch.NonU.S.AnalystDisclosure:TheHTIanalyst(s)listedonthecoverofthisResearchis(are)notregisteredorqualifiedasaresearchanalystwithFINRAandarenotsubjecttoU.S.FINRARule2241restrictionsoncommunicationswithcompaniesthatarethesubjectoftheResearch;publicappearances;andtradingsecuritiesbyaresearchanalyst.分發和地區通知:除非下文另有規定,否則任何希望討論本報告或者就本項研究中討論的任何證券進行任何交易的收件人均應聯系其所在國家或地區的海通國際銷售人員。香港投資者的通知事項:海通國際證券股份有限公司(“HTISCL”)負責分發該研究報告,HTISCL1類受規管活動(從事證券交易)的持牌公司。該研究報告并不構成《證券及期貨條例》(571章)(以下簡稱“SFO”)SFO所界定的“專業投資者”。本研究報告未經過證券及期貨事務監察委員會的審查。您不應僅根據本研究報告中所載的信息做出投資決定。本研究報告的收件人就研究報告中產生或與之相關的任何事宜請聯系HTISCL銷售人員。美國投資者的通知事項:HTIRL,HSIPLHTIJKKHTIRL,HSIPL,HTIJKKHTISG美國聯營公司,均未在美國注冊,因此不受美國關于研究報告編制和研1934年“美國證券交易法”第15a-6條規定的豁免注冊的「美國主要機構投資者」(“MajorU.SInstitutionalInvestor”)和「機構投資者」(”U.SInstitutionalInvestors”)。在向美國機構投資者分發研究報告時,HaitongInternationalSecuritiesUSAInc(“HTIUSA”)HTIUSA。HTIUSA340MadisonAvenue,12thFloorNewYorkNY10173,電話(212)351-6050。HTIUSAU.SSecuritiesandExchangeCommission(“SEC”)FinancialIndustryRegulatoryAuthorityInc.(“FINRA”)的成員。HTIUSA不負責編寫HSIPL,HTIRLHTIJKK直接進行買賣證券或相HSIPL,HTIRLHTIJKKFINRAFINRA2241條規定的與目標公司的交流,公開露面和分析師賬戶持有的交易證券等限制。投資本研究報告中討論的任何非美國證券或相關金融工具(包括ADR)可能存在一定風險。非美國發行的證券可能沒有注冊,或不受美國法規的約束。有關非美國證券或相關金融工具的信息可能有限制。外國公司可能不受審計和匯報的標準以及與美國境內生效相符的監管要求。本研究報告中以美元以外的其他貨幣計價的任何證券或相關金融工具的投資或收益的價值受匯率波動的影響,可能對該等證券或相關金融工具的價值或收入產生正面或負面影響。美國收件人的所有問詢請聯系:HaitongInternationalSecurities(USA)Inc.340MadisonAvenue,12thFloorNewYork,NY10173聯系人電話:(212)3516050DISTRIBUTIONANDREGIONALNOTICESExceptasotherwiseindicatedbelow,anyRecipientwishingtodiscussthisresearchreportoreffectanytransactioninanysecuritydiscussedinHTI’sresearchshouldcontacttheHaitongInternationalsalespersonintheirowncountryorregion.NoticetoHongKonginvestors:TheresearchreportisdistributedbyHaitongInternationalSecuritiesCompanyLimited(“HTISCL”),whichisalicensedcorporationtocarryonType1regulatedactivity(dealinginsecurities)inHongKong.ThisresearchreportdoesnotconstituteasolicitationoranofferofsecuritiesoraninvitationtothepublicwithinthemeaningoftheSFO.Thisresearchreportisonlytobecirculatedto"ProfessionalInvestors"asdefinedintheSFO.ThisresearchreporthasnotbeenreviewedbytheSecuritiesandFuturesCommission.Youshouldnotmakeinvestmentdecisionssolelyonthebasisoftheinformationcontainedinthisresearchreport.RecipientsofthisresearchreportaretocontactHTISCLsalespersonsinrespectofanymattersarisingfrom,orinconnectionwith,theresearchreport.NoticetoU.S.investors:Asdescribedabove,thisresearchreportwaspreparedbyHTIRL,HSIPLorHTIJKK.NeitherHTIRL,HSIPL,HTIJKK,noranyofthenonU.S.HTISGaffiliatesisregisteredintheUnitedStatesand,therefore,isnotsubjecttoU.S.rulesregardingthepreparationofresearchreportsandtheindependenceofresearchanalysts.Thisresearchreportisprovidedfordistributionto“majorU.S.institutionalinvestors”and“U.S.institutionalinvestors”inrelianceontheexemptionfromregistrationprovidedbyRule15a-6oftheU.S.SecuritiesExchangeActof1934,asamended.Whendistributingresearchreportsto“U.S.institutionalinvestors,”HTIUSAwillaccepttheresponsibilitiesforthecontentofthereports.AnyU.S.recipientofthisresearchreportwishingtoeffectanytransactiontobuyorsellsecuritiesorrelatedfinancialinstrumentsbasedontheinformationprovidedinthisresearchreportshoulddosoonlythroughHaitongInternationalSecurities(USA)Inc.(“HTIUSA”),locatedat340MadisonAvenue,12thFloor,NewYork,NY10173,USA;telephone(212)3516050.HTIUSAisabroker-dealerregisteredintheU.S.withtheU.S.SecuritiesandExchangeCommission(the“SEC”)andamemberoftheFinancialIndustryRegulatoryAuthority,Inc.(“FINRA”).HTIUSAisnotresponsibleforthepreparationofthisresearchreportnorfortheanalysiscontainedtherein.UndernocircumstancesshouldanyU.S.recipientofthisresearchreportcontacttheanalystdirectlyoreffectanytransactiontobuyorsellsecuritiesorrelatedfinancialinstrumentsdirectlythroughHSIPL,HTIRLorHTIJKK.TheHSIPL,HTIR
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