2024年可持續航空燃料(SAF)產業現狀報告(英文版)-NREL_第1頁
2024年可持續航空燃料(SAF)產業現狀報告(英文版)-NREL_第2頁
2024年可持續航空燃料(SAF)產業現狀報告(英文版)-NREL_第3頁
2024年可持續航空燃料(SAF)產業現狀報告(英文版)-NREL_第4頁
2024年可持續航空燃料(SAF)產業現狀報告(英文版)-NREL_第5頁
已閱讀5頁,還剩157頁未讀 繼續免費閱讀

下載本文檔

版權說明:本文檔由用戶提供并上傳,收益歸屬內容提供方,若內容存在侵權,請進行舉報或認領

文檔簡介

SustainableAviationFuel

(SAF)State-of-IndustryReport:

StateofSAFProductionProcess

NREL/TP-5100-87802?July2024

OscarRosalesCalderon,LingTao,ZiaAbdullah,KristiMoriarty,SharonSmolinski,AneliaMilbrandt,

MichaelTalmadge,ArpitBhatt,YiminZhang,VikramRavi,ChristopherSkangos,EricTan,andCourtneyPayne

SustainableAviationFuel

(SAF)State-of-IndustryReport:

StateofSAFProductionProcess

OscarRosalesCalderon,LingTao,ZiaAbdullah,KristiMoriarty,SharonSmolinski,AneliaMilbrandt,

MichaelTalmadge,ArpitBhatt,YiminZhang,VikramRavi,ChristopherSkangos,EricTan,andCourtneyPayneNationalRenewableEnergyLaboratory

SuggestedCitation:RosalesCalderon,Oscar,LingTao,ZiaAbdullah,KirstiMoriarty,SharonSmolinski,AneliaMilbrandt,MichaelTalmadge,etal.2024.SustainableAviationFuel(SAF)State-of-IndustryReport:StateofSAF

ProductionProcess.Golden,CO:NationalRenewableEnergyLaboratory.NREL/TP-5100-87802.

/docs/fy24osti/87802.pdf.

NationalRenewableEnergyLaboratory

15013DenverWestParkway,Golden,CO80401303-275-3000?

NRELprintsonpaperthatcontainsrecycledcontent.

NRELisanationallaboratoryoftheU.S.DepartmentofEnergyOfficeofEnergyEfficiencyandRenewableEnergy

OperatedbytheAllianceforSustainableEnergy,LLCNREL/TP-5100-87802?July2024

Frontcover:photofromGettyImages1042674534

NOTICE

ThisworkwasauthoredbytheNationalRenewableEnergyLaboratory,operatedbyAllianceforSustainableEnergy,LLC,fortheU.S.DepartmentofEnergy(DOE)underContractNo.DE-AC36-08GO28308.FundingprovidedbytheU.S.DepartmentofEnergyOfficeofEnergyEfficiencyandRenewableEnergyBioenergyTechnologiesOffice.TheviewsexpressedhereindonotnecessarilyrepresenttheviewsoftheDOEortheU.S.Government.

ThisreportisavailableatnocostfromtheNationalRenewableEnergyLaboratory(NREL)at

/publications.

U.S.DepartmentofEnergy(DOE)reportsproducedafter1991andagrowingnumberofpre-1991documentsareavailable

freevia

www.OSTI.gov.

NRELprintsonpaperthatcontainsrecycledcontent.

iii

ThisreportisavailableatnocostfromtheNationalRenewableEnergyLaboratoryat/publications.

Acknowledgments

WethanktheU.S.DepartmentofEnergy’sBioenergyTechnologiesOfficeforfundingand

supportingthiswork.Wealsothanktheinterviewedstakeholdersforprovidingtheirexpert

perspectivesrelatedtorampingupsustainableaviationfuel(SAF)productiontomeettheSAFGrandChallengegoalsandforreviewingthisreport.Finally,wethankthereviewersofthis

reportfortheirvaluablecomments.Stakeholdersandreviewersarelistedbelowby

company/organizationnames.Notethat“stakeholders”and“reviewers”donotimply

endorsementofthepresentedanalysisbyeitherindividualsorcompanies/organizations.

IndustryStakeholders

AlderRenewables

DanielSzeezil

Axens

DavidSchwalje

Boeing

JosephEllsworth

BP

JohnShabaker

CleanFuelsAllianceAmerica

ScottFenwick

DeltaAirlines

DanaKaplinski,CherieWilson,KellyNodzak,JoannaChavez

ExxonMobil

XiaochunXu

MarathonPetroleumCorporation

RonaldB.Juan

ParPacific

JonGoldsmith

PBFEnergy

Phillips66

AaloGupta,TJLee

PoetBiorefiningLLC

DaveCarlson

Preem

R?dbergHenrik,?hrmanOlov

St.BernardRenewables(SBR)

Suncor

ClementinaSosa

WorldEnergy

GaryGrimes

Reviewers

CleanFuelsAllianceAmerica

ScottFenwick

DPChemConsulting

DanielParker

Sacre-DaveyEngineering

RennelBarrie

TransportEnergyStrategies

TammyKlein

iv

ThisreportisavailableatnocostfromtheNationalRenewableEnergyLaboratoryat/publications.

ListofAcronyms

ATJalcoholtojet

BGPYbilliongallonsperyear

CAAFICommercialAviationAlternativeFuelsInitiative

CFRCodeofFederalRegulations

CIcarbonintensity

CO2carbondioxide

CO2ecarbondioxideequivalent

CORSIACarbonOffsettingandReductionSchemeforInternationalAviation

CSAClimateSmartAgriculture

EPAEnvironmentalProtectionAgency

FTFischer–Tropsch

GHGgreenhousegas

GREETGreenhousegases,RegulatedEmissions,andEnergyuseinTechnologies

HEFAhydroprocessedestersandfattyacids

ICAOInternationalCivilAviationOrganization

IRAInflationReductionAct

IRCInternalRevenueCode

LCAlifecycleanalysis

LCFSLowCarbonFuelStandard

MFSPminimumfuelsellingprice

NNSRNonattainmentNewSourceReview

NOxnitrogenoxides

NSRNewSourceReview

PMparticulatematter

PSDPreventionofSignificantDeterioration

PTJpyrolysistojet

RDrenewablediesel

RFSRenewableFuelStandard

RINrenewableidentificationnumber

SAFsustainableaviationfuel

SPKsyntheticparaffinickerosene

v

ThisreportisavailableatnocostfromtheNationalRenewableEnergyLaboratoryat/publications.

PurposeoftheState-of-IndustryReports

Thisseriesofsustainableaviationfuel(SAF)state-of-industryreportsaimstoprovidea

thoroughevaluationoftheemergingSAFproductionindustry,andfostercommunicationamongthestakeholders(bothpublicandprivate)involvedintheSAFsupplychain.WhilethereportisprimarilyconcernedwiththeproductionofSAF,thenatureofproducinghydrocarbonfuels

meansthatsomeoftheinformationincludedwillberelevanttotheproductionofotherliquidtransportationfuels.

Inadditiontothisreportonthehydroprocessedestersandfattyacids(HEFA)pathway,the

projectteamplanstoreleaseaseriesofreportscoveringtheoverallSAFframework,thealcohol-to-jet(ATJ)pathway,theFischer–Tropsch(FT)pathway,andpossiblythepyrolysis-to-jet(PTJ)pathway.

ThesereportscenteronidentifyinganyweaklinksinthesupplychainthathavethepotentialtohindertheproductionofSAF,particularlyinreachingtheproductiongoalssetbyU.S.

DepartmentofEnergy,theU.S.DepartmentofTransportation,theU.S.Departmentof

Agriculture,andotherfederalgovernmentagenciesaspartoftheSAFGrandChallenge.Thereportsfocusprimarilyonhurdlesforthe2030goalof3billiongallonsperyear(BGPY)butalsoidentifysomeofthechallengestoachievingthe2050goalof35BGPY.Toidentifytheseobstacles,theprojectteaminterviewedkeystakeholderssuchasSAFandrenewablediesel

producers,crudeoilrefiningcompanies,environmentalorganizations,airlines,biomassproducers,pipelineowners,andotherexpertsinrelevantfields.

StateofSAFProductionProcessReport

ThisreportpresentsfactorswithintheSAFproductionchainthatarecommontoallpathways.

TheaimofthisreportistohighlightpotentialchallengesthatcanhinderSAFproductionscale-upregardlessofwhichpathwayisused.Weidentifiedthesechallengesbasedon

discussions,consultations,andcollaborativesessionswithstakeholdersalongtheSAFsupplychain.

vi

ThisreportisavailableatnocostfromtheNationalRenewableEnergyLaboratoryat/publications.

ExecutiveSummary

Duetotheircompatibilitywithexistingfuelinfrastructure,biofuelswillplayanimportantroleindecarbonizinghard-to-electrifyportionsofthetransportationsectorinthecomingyears.

Specificallyconsideringtheaviationsector,greenhousegas(GHG)emissionsrelatedto

commercialairtravelwerealreadysignificantpriortotheCOVID-19pandemic,at10%ofdomestictransportationemissionsand3%oftotalU.S.GHGemissions.Evenwithmodestannualgrowth,airtransportationandrelatedemissionsareexpectedtodoubleby2050.

Becausesustainableaviationfuel(SAF)istheonlywaythatmedium-tolong-haulcommercialaviationcanbedecarbonizedinthenearterm,aU.S.governmentwide“SAFGrandChallenge”wasissuedtoencourageindustrytodevelopcapabilitiestoproduceSAF,reducecost,improve

sustainability,buildsupplychains,andscaleproductioncapabilities[1].Thetargetsareto

expandcurrentdomesticSAFproductionby130times(basedon2023consumptionnumbers)to3billiongallonsperyearby2030andthenfurtherby12timesto35billiongallonsperyearby2050whileachievinglifecycleGHGemissionsreductionofatleast50%relativetofossilJetA.FollowingtheannouncementoftheSAFGrandChallenge,theU.S.DepartmentofEnergy,U.S.DepartmentofAgriculture,EnvironmentalProtectionAgency,andFederalAviation

Administrationcollaborativelydevelopedacomprehensivestrategy,outlinedintheSAFGrandChallengeRoadmap[2],toinformstakeholdersoftheactionsnecessarytoachievetheabove

volumetrictargets.

ThepurposeofthisstudyistoprovideanassessmentofthecurrentstateoftheSAFproductionindustryandidentifychallengesandhurdlesthatindustrymayfaceindeliveringthe2030goals.Thisassessmentisforthepotentialfeedstocksandconversionpathwaysexpectedtocontributeto2030goalsandwillgenerallyfollowactionareasintheSAFGrandChallenge:feedstocks,

conversiontechnology,supplychain,andpolicyandvaluation.

Thepathwaysweplantoinvestigatebetweenfiscalyears2023and2025includehydroprocessedestersandfattyacids(HEFA),Fischer–Tropsch(FT),alcoholtojet(ATJ),andpyrolysistojet

(PTJ).Theinvestigationsarebasedontechnicalandcommercialliteraturereviews,discussions,consultations,andcollaborativesessionswithindustrystakeholdersandsubjectmatterexpertsontechnologies,economics,sustainability,logistics,approvals,regulations,policies,andpermittingthatmayimpacttheindustry’sabilitytoachievetheSAFGrandChallengegoals.Inadditionto

thisreport,areportonHEFAwillbepublishedin2024,andreportsonFT,ATJ,andPTJwillbepublishedduringfiscalyears2024and2025.

ThisreportpresentsfactorswithintheSAFsupplychainthatmaybecommontoallpathways.

Basedonindustryfeedbackandouranalysis,someofthekeytakeawayfactorshighlightedfromthisstudyinclude:

?BothSAFandrenewablediesel(RD)arenecessarytodecarbonizetransportation.RDsupportsthedecarbonizationofmedium-andheavy-dutyvehicles,andSAFenablesthedecarbonizationofmedium-andlong-distancecommercialaviation.

?ThedemandforSAFisexpectedtoincreasebecausetherearenoalternativefuelingoptionsformedium-tolong-haulcommercialaviation.AlthoughthereislikelytobestrongdemandforRDinthemedium-term,long-termdemandforRDwilllikely

vii

ThisreportisavailableatnocostfromtheNationalRenewableEnergyLaboratoryat/publications.

decreasebecauseofelectrificationandhydrogenfuelingoptionsformedium-andheavy-dutyvehicles.IncreasingproductionvolumesofRDintheneartermhasthebenefitof

developingproduction/logisticsinfrastructureandimprovingfuelproducers’skillsin

maintainingquality,problem-solving,efficiency,andcostreduction,asthetechnologiesforRDandSAFaresimilar.ThegrowthoftheSAFmarketwillbepositivelyimpactedbyalloftheselearnings.

?Inthepresentmarketandincentivestructure,RDcompeteswithSAFbecausethey

havemostlysimilarprocessconfiguration,carbonnumbers,andboilingpoints.At

thetimeofpublication,thecombinedincentivesinsomestateswillslightlyfavorRDproduction(federalandCaliforniaState

1

incentives).Asevidenceoftheimpactof

incentives,only8milliongallonsofSAFweresoldinCaliforniain2021,whichmadeup0.3%ofthetotalLowCarbonFuelStandard(LCFS)creditssold.Incontrast,941milliongallonsofRDwereproducedinthesameyear,accountingfor36%ofthetotalLCFS

credits.ThestructureofthecombinedfederalandstateincentivesforCalifornia

(CA)indicatesthatRDcurrentlyhasaslightadvantageoverSAFwhencarbon

intensity(CI)valuesareequal.Thisadvantageismainlyduetotheextra$0.39

allocatedtoRDbasedonCaliforniaavoideddieseldeficit.IntheabsenceofCaliforniaavoideddieseldeficits,thefederalandCaliforniaLCFSincentivesfavorSAFfor2023–2024and2024–2027,whenemissionsreductionsexceed60%.Whilecurrentpolicy

andmarketconditionsmayincentivizebiofuelfacilitiestofavorRDproduction,thesesamefacilitiescouldbeusedwithsomemodificationstoincreaseSAF

productionandsupporttheFederalgovernment’sSAFproductiongoalsasthemarketforSAFgrows.

?EffectiveanddurablepolicyincentivesarerequiredforSAFproductionand

encouragethegrowthandestablishmentofaSAFindustrywhileideallyproviding

low-carbonjetfueltocustomersatcostscomparabletofossilJetA.Stakeholders

emphasizedthenecessityoflong-termdurabilityofSAFpoliciesbecausecapital

investmentsarelarge,withprojectlifetimesexceeding10years.Onemajorconcernhasbeenthefrequentexpirationandreinstatementoftaxcredits,aswellasthe

consistencyoftheseincentives.

?EstablishingaglobalconsensusonthedefinitionandeligibilitycriteriaforSAFis

importantbecauseairlineswilluseSAFproducedoninternationalroutesandwill

thusbesubjecttoothercountries’regulations.MostofthefeedstocksidentifiedintheBillion-TonReport[3],suchasgrains,oilseeds,animalfats,andforestrywastes,can

comply

2

withtheSAFGrandChallenge’s50%GHGemissionsreductionrequirement

andtheCommercialAviationAlternativeFuelsInitiative(CAAFI)definitionofSAF[4]andmayalsobecompliantwiththeInternationalCivilAviationOrganization(ICAO)

definitionofSAF[5].

?Feedstockavailabilitymaybeahighriskinasupplychainbecauseitembodies

multiplerisksthatmaycompoundandthatarebeyondthecontrolofaSAF

producer.Compoundingfactorsforcertainbiomassfeedstockmayincludeseasonality,

1Californiawaschoseninthiscasebecauseoftheiruniquestate-levelenergypolicies,whichoftenleadtothe

productionofhighvolumesofrenewabletransportationfuelswithintheirborders.Otherstatesmayhavedifferentexistingandproposedpoliciesthatwillchangetheoveralllandscapeoffuelproductionbefore2030.

2SomefeedstockandSAFpathwaycombinations,likecorn-ethanoltojetfuel,maynotmeettheGHGemissionsreductionthresholdunlessadditionalmeasuresaretakentoreducethecarbonintensityoftheprocess.

viii

ThisreportisavailableatnocostfromtheNationalRenewableEnergyLaboratoryat/publications.

pests,diseases,climateandweather,marketdemand,globaltradeandregulations,and

labor.Someofthisriskmaybemitigatedbyconversionprocessesthathavethe

flexibilitytoacceptmultiple,morediversefeedstock.However,projectfinanciers

typicallyrequirelong-termsupplyagreementswithcredit-worthycounterparties.Thechallengeliesinthefactthat,despitetheavailabilityoffeedstock,theprojectmaystillnotmeetthenecessaryde-riskcriteria—becauseofthefactorsmentionedabove—to

qualifyforprojectfinancing.OnewaythisfeedstockriskmaybemitigatedistohavefeedstocksuppliersalsobecomeinvestorsinSAFprojects.

?FortheHEFApathway,thereisasignificantoverlapbetweenjetanddiesel

hydrocarbonfractions.Althoughoverlapbetweenjetanddieselfractionswillallow

producerstheflexibilitytochoosewhichproducttomake,productionofadditionaljet

fuelfromthedieselfractionmayrequireadditionalcapitalexpense,increaseoperating

costs,requireadditionalhydrogenandhigher-severityoperations,andreducecarbon

yieldtothedesiredproduct.Simpleextractionofthejetfraction(approximatecarbon

number[C]8to16)viadistillationwillresultintheremainingdieselfraction(carbon

number>16)beingtooheavy(highpourpoint)tobeusedinthedieselmarket;however,thisheavyfractionmaybesuitableforheavyfueloildisplacementinthemarinefuel

market.WhilethegovernmenthasestablishedSAFproductionasapriority,producingrenewabledieseland/ormarinefuelalsocontributestodecarbonizingthetransportationsector.FortheATJpathway,wheresmallermoleculesare“builtup”oroligomerizedtomakelargermolecules,itmaybepossibletoproducefuelmoleculesintheC8toC16

rangewithouthavingtoproducelargermolecules.

?Atpresent,100%SAFblendstock(withoutASTMD1655approval)isnotapprovedtobetransportedviapetroleumpipelines.Inthefuture,pipelinetransportmaybepermitted,

butSAFblendstockiscurrentlytransportedbytruck,rail,orbargefromstand-alone

biorefinerieswhereblendingwithfossilJetAmaynotbepossible.Itmaybebeneficialtoconsiderbiorefinerysiteswithbargeandrailaccessintheneartermuntil

approvalisgivenfor100%SAFtransportviapetroleumpipelines.Deliveryofless-densefeedstocks,suchaswoodybiomassandagriculturalwaste,bytruck,evenfora

modest-sizedbiorefineryproducing60milliongallonsofSAFperyear,willrequireatruckcomingandgoingevery2minutes.Iffossildieselisusedforfuel,theincreaseintrucktrafficcanfurthercontributetoGHGemissions.Thismaynegativelyimpact

surroundingcommunitiesunlessthereareoptionstobypassinhabitedareas.Anotheroptionmaybetheuseof“hub-and-spoke”logisticsmodelswherebiomassiscollectedanddensifiedatsmallerscale,thenmovedinadensifiedformtoabiorefinery.

?TheNation’spipelinefuelstransportationinfrastructureisalreadycapacity-constrainedwhenannualjetfueluseisapproximately22billiongallons.Ifannualaviationfuel

demandincreasesto35billiongallonsby2050,fuellogisticsmaybecomeabottleneckconstrainingthegrowthoftheaviationindustry.Althoughthisconstraintcouldbe

mitigatedbyreduceddemandforgasoline(becauseoflight-dutyfleetelectrification),

theremayalsobeopportunitiestoproduceSAFlocally,nearairports,tobypassthefuelstransportationinfrastructureconstraints.ThisstrategymaybemoreapplicabletoATJorFTplantssinceHEFAfacilitiesarepredominantlyrepurposedfossilfuel

refineries[6].

?Biorefineryprojectpermittingprocesseshavebeenidentifiedasonerousand

deemedtobe“substantialbarriers”inthedeploymentofSAFfacilities,withprojects

ix

ThisreportisavailableatnocostfromtheNationalRenewableEnergyLaboratoryat/publications.

canceledorrelocatedduetolengthy,high-risk,andtime-consumingpermitting

processes.WhilethisisnotabarrierexclusivetoSAF,interviewedstakeholdersfeltthatprocesssimplificationwouldbebeneficialtospeeddeploymentofSAFfacilities.

?Socialresistancetonewfacilitieshasbeenraisedbystakeholdersasapotential

bottleneck.Thisstemsfromtheenvironmentalimpactofnewfacilitiesbutalsofrom

insufficientinvolvementofresidentsandenergy/environmentaljusticeadvocatesbeforeaprojectisstartedandcommunitybuy-inisobtained.SocialresistanceisnotexclusivetotheSAFindustry;however,communityacceptancewhensitingabiorefineryiscriticaltoavoidpotentialdelays.Understandinghowregulatoryinstitutionsincorporatestakeholderparticipationintotheirdecision-makingprocesscouldhelpsimplifythepermitting

processwhilealsoincludingandconsideringpublicconcernsandpriorities.

?Currentincentivesdirectlybenefitfuelproducers,whowouldincreaseSAFproductionandcreateadditionaldemandforfeedstock.Farmersmaybenefitthroughincreased

demandforfeedstockasanindirectbenefit.

?Fixedassetsandthecontractualarrangements(mainlyforfeedstocksupplyand

productofftake)arenotconsideredsecureenoughforprojectfinancing.Project

financelenderswouldliketoseemultipleyearsofstableoperationandcashflowfor

similarfacilitiesbeforeprovidingcredit.Thus,programssuchastheBioenergy

TechnologiesOffice’sscale-upfundingopportunitiesfordemonstrationplants[7]andtheLoanProgramsOffice’ssupportforpioneerbiorefineriesarecritical[8].Otherlenders

suchasequityfinancehavehigherrisktoleranceandmaybridgethegapbetweenfederallysupportedprojectsandprojectfinancingstructures.Petroleumrefineryintegrationmayalsosignificantlyreducecapitalcosts,loweringfinancingneeds.

?Theairlineindustryisextremelycost-competitive,withfuelcontributing20%to30%oftheiroperatingexpenditures.Ifanysingleairlineagreestolock-intoalong-termSAF

premiumforsubstantialfuelvolume,itscoststructuremaybecomeuncompetitive

againstitspeers.However,onepositiveaspectoflong-termpricelock-inmaybehedgingagainstpricevolatilityoffossilJet-A.

?SAFdevelopersfeltthatcarbonpricingorevenaglobalcarbontaxwould“leveltheplayingfield”forthemtocompetewithotherrenewableindustriesandtoensure

consistentdecision-makingprocessesacrosstheavailablepathways.Incentivesor

mandatesthataffecteachairlineequallymaymitigatecostimparitybetweenSAFandJet-AandreducetheimpactofpricevolatilityofJet-Aonairlineprofitability.

ProducingSAFtomeettheGrandChallengegoalsisagreatopportunityforeconomic

developmentintheU.S.SAFwilldecarbonizeflightswithintheU.SandenableU.S.carrierstoflygloballywithalowercarbonfootprint.Therearesomechallenges,suchastheneedto

produceRDaswell,whichwillputpressureonfeedstocksupply,buttherearemultiple

pathwaysapprovedbyASTMthatprovideconsiderablefeedstockflexibility.SAFbiorefineries

willhavethepotentialbenefittoreducebottlenecksintheU.S.capacity-constrainedfuel

distributionsystemsiftheycanbebuiltclosertoairports.Thereareopportunitiestomake

policies(atthestateorfederallevel)toencouragemorestableinvestmentsforproducingSAF.TheBioenergyTechnologiesOffice,LoanProgramsOffice,andotherfederalprogramssuchastheFederalAviationAdministration’sFuelingAviation’sSustainableTransition(FAST)[9]arecriticallyimportantatthisnascentstageoftheindustry,asconventionallenderstendtoberiskaverse.

x

ThisreportisavailableatnocostfromtheNationalRenewableEnergyLaboratoryat/publications.

TableofContents

ExecutiveSummary vi

1Introduction 1

1.1PurposeandMethodologyofThisStudy 4

1.2ContentandOrganizationofThisReport 5

2SustainableAviationFuels 6

2.1DefinitionsofSAF 7

2.2KeyAdjacenciesBetweenSAFandMajorTransportationFuels 8

2.3OverviewoftheSupplyChain 9

2.4JetFuelandSAFMovements 11

2.5JetFuelSupplyChainConstraints 13

2.6JetFuelQualityControl 15

3PermitsandApprovals 17

3.1FuelApprovals:ASTMStandards 18

3.2ProjectPermitsandApprovals 21

3.3JetASupplyChain’sRegulationsandPermits 22

3.4DifficultiesWithApprovalsandPermits 23

4PoliciesandIncentives 25

4.1InflationReductionAct 26

4.2RenewableFuelStandard 28

4.3StateandLocalPolicies 28

4.4LifeCycleAnalysisandCarbonIntensity 30

4.5StakeholderConcernsRelatedtoPolicy 31

References 39

AppendixA.StakeholderEngagement 51

AppendixB.ASTM-ApprovedSAFPathways 53

AppendixC.ConformityTestASTMSpecificationandTestMethods 55

AppendixD.SAFPoliciesandIncentives 57

AppendixE.EconomicsandSustainability 64

AppendixF.AirQualityandRegulations 70

xi

ThisreportisavailableatnocostfromtheNationalRenewableEnergyLaboratoryat/publications.

ListofFigures

Figure2.TheSAFGrandChallengerequires130timesscale-upinproductioninthenext7years

(considering2023consumptionvolume)and12timesscale-upinthe20yearsfollowing

2030[16] 3

Figure3.Carbonnumbersandboilingpointsforgasoline,jet,anddieselfuels[1] 8

Figure4.CompositionofaverageJetA[1,12] 9

Figure5.OverviewoftheSAFsupplychain 10

Figure6.MajorU.S.pipelinestransportingjetfuel 12

Figure7.SAFandconventionaljetfuelsupplychains 13

Figure8.Airportsservedbycapacity-constrainedpipelines[29] 14

Figure9.Airportsservedbycapacity-constrainedtrucks[29] 15

Figure10.ComparisonoffederalandstateincentivesforRDandSAF:(a)2023–2024and(b)2025–

2027.Carbonintensity(CI)isingCO2e/MJfuel(CA=California) 33

Figure11.CombinedfederalandCaliforniaincentivevalues,February2022throughJanuary2024

(USD/gallon),forRDandSAFwithCIvaluesof44.5and18 34

Figure12.Combinedincentivevaluesforonlyfederalincentives,federalandCaliforniastateincentives,

federalandOregonstateincentives,andfederalandWashingtonstateincentives,forJanuary

2024,forRDandSAFwithCI18 36

Figure13.Numberandlengthofofftakeagreementssignedbetween2020and2023[114] 38

FigureD-1.RINpricingJanuary2019throughJanuary2024(USD/gallon),basedonpricingdatafrom

[93] 61

FigureD-2.RINpricingforD4RDandSAF,January2019throughJanuary2024(USD/gallon),based

onpricingdatafromEPA[93],ascalculatedusingtheequivalencevaluesof1.7forRDand

1.6forSAF 62

FigureD-3.RINpricingforD5RDandSAF(producedviacoprocessing),January2019throughJanuary

2024(USD/gallon),basedonpricingdatafromEPA[93],ascalculatedusingthe

equivalencevaluesof1.7forRDand1.6forSAF 62

FigureD-4.CaliforniaLCFScreditpricing,January2019throughJanuary2024(USD/metricton),based

ontheaveragepricepermonthfromtheLCFScredittransactionlog[120] 63

FigureE-1.Approachfortechno-economicanalysis 65

FigureF-1.Simplifiedflowdiagramoftheairper

溫馨提示

  • 1. 本站所有資源如無特殊說明,都需要本地電腦安裝OFFICE2007和PDF閱讀器。圖紙軟件為CAD,CAXA,PROE,UG,SolidWorks等.壓縮文件請下載最新的WinRAR軟件解壓。
  • 2. 本站的文檔不包含任何第三方提供的附件圖紙等,如果需要附件,請聯系上傳者。文件的所有權益歸上傳用戶所有。
  • 3. 本站RAR壓縮包中若帶圖紙,網頁內容里面會有圖紙預覽,若沒有圖紙預覽就沒有圖紙。
  • 4. 未經權益所有人同意不得將文件中的內容挪作商業或盈利用途。
  • 5. 人人文庫網僅提供信息存儲空間,僅對用戶上傳內容的表現方式做保護處理,對用戶上傳分享的文檔內容本身不做任何修改或編輯,并不能對任何下載內容負責。
  • 6. 下載文件中如有侵權或不適當內容,請與我們聯系,我們立即糾正。
  • 7. 本站不保證下載資源的準確性、安全性和完整性, 同時也不承擔用戶因使用這些下載資源對自己和他人造成任何形式的傷害或損失。

評論

0/150

提交評論