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CRITICALMATERIALS
BATTERIESFOR
ELECTRICVEHICLES
IIRENA
InternationalRenewableEnergyAgency
?IRENA2024
Unlessotherwisestated,materialinthispublicationmaybefreelyused,shared,copied,reproduced,printedand/orstored,providedthatappropriateacknowledgementisgivenofIRENAasthesourceandcopyrightholder.Materialinthispublicationthatisattributedtothirdpartiesmaybesubjecttoseparatetermsofuseandrestrictions,andappropriatepermissionsfromthesethirdpartiesmayneedtobesecuredbeforeanyuseofsuchmaterial.
ISBN978-92-9260-626-8
Citation:IRENA(2024),Criticalmaterials:Batteriesforelectricvehicles,InternationalRenewableEnergyAgency,AbuDhabi.
AboutIRENA
TheInternationalRenewableEnergyAgency(IRENA)isanintergovernmentalorganisationthatsupportscountriesintheirtransitiontoasustainableenergyfuture,andservesastheprincipalplatformforinternationalco-operation,acentreofexcellence,andarepositoryofpolicy,technology,resourceandfinancialknowledgeonrenewableenergy.IRENApromotesthewidespreadadoptionandsustainableuseofallformsofrenewableenergy,includingbioenergy,geothermal,hydropower,ocean,solarandwindenergyinthepursuitofsustainabledevelopment,energyaccess,energysecurityandlow-carboneconomicgrowthandprosperity.
Acknowledgements
ThisreportwasauthoredbyIsaacElizondoGarcia,CarlosRuizandLuisJaneiro(IRENA)andMartinaLyons(ex-IRENA),underthedirectionofFranciscoBoshellandRolandRoesch(Director,IRENAInnovationandTechnologyCentre).
ValuableinputwasprovidedbyIRENAcolleaguesDeeptiSiddhanti,DoraLopez,JinleiFengandZhaoyuLewisWuandYongChen.
Thisreportbenefittedfromtheinputandcommentsofexperts,BryanBille(BenchmarkMineralsIntelligence),ClaudiaBrunori(ItalianNationalAgencyforNewTechnologies,EnergyandSustainableEconomicDevelopment),DanaCartwright(InternationalCouncilonMiningandMetals),DanielWeaver(DepartmentforEnergySecurityandNetZero,UK),DjiboSeydou(MinistryofMines,Niger),DolfGielen(WorldBank),KatherineShapiro(MinistryofEnergyandNaturalResources,Canada),MarcosIerides(Bax&Company),MarosHalama(InoBat),ShoraiKavu(MinistryofEnergyandPowerDevelopment,Zimbabwe),SilviaBobba(JointResearchCentre,EuropeanCommission)andYiheyisEshetu(MinistryofWaterandEnergy,Ethiopia).Thereportwascopy-editedbyFayreMakeigandtechnicalreviewprovidedbyPaulKomor.EditorialsupportwasprovidedbyFrancisFieldandStephanieClarke.GraphicdesignwasprovidedbyNachoSanz.
Forfurtherinformationortoprovidefeedback:publications@Thisreportisavailableat:/publications
Disclaimer
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TheinformationcontainedhereindoesnotnecessarilyrepresenttheviewsofallMembersofIRENA.ThementionofspecificcompaniesorcertainprojectsorproductsdoesnotimplythattheyareendorsedorrecommendedbyIRENAinpreferencetoothersofasimilarnaturethatarenotmentioned.ThedesignationsemployedandthepresentationofmaterialhereindonotimplytheexpressionofanyopiniononthepartofIRENAconcerningthelegalstatusofanyregion,country,territory,cityorareaorofitsauthorities,orconcerningthedelimitationoffrontiersorboundaries.
Coverphotos:?SergiiChernov/Sand?Varavin88/S
3
CONTENTS
FIgures,tablesandboxes 4
Abbreviations 6
Executivesummary 7
1.Introduction 15
2.DemandsupplyprospectsforEVbatterymaterials 18
2.1Theroleofelectricvehicles(EVs)intheenergytransition 18
2.2.DemandforEVbatterymaterials 20
2.3SupplyofEVbatterymaterials 30
3.Keyconsiderationsforpolicymakers 34
3.1.Resultsandconclusions 34
3.2.Recommendationsforpolicymakers 39
References 44
Annex1Supplydemandprospectspermaterial 50
Annex1.1.Lithium 50
Annex1.2.Cobalt 54
Annex1.3.Graphite 58
Annex1.4.Nickel 61
Annex1.5.Copper 64
Annex1.6.Phosphorous 67
Annex1.7.Manganese 70
Annex2Keyassumptions 73
CRITICALMATERIALS:BATTERIESFORELECTRICVEHICLES
4
FIGURES
Figure1Criticalmaterialsupplyanddemandin2023and2030 9
Figure2Sensitivityanalysisofsupply-demandbalancebasedonaveragebatterysizeand
batterychemistry 11
Figure3Volume-weightedaveragepricesplitforlithium-ionbatterypacksandcells,2013-2023
(realUSD2023/kWh) 16
Figure4Breakdownoftotalfinalenergyconsumptionbyenergycarrierunderthe1.5°CScenario,
2020-2050 18
Figure5EstimatedbatterydemandforEVsunderIRENA’s1.5°CScenariobysegment,
2023-2030 19
Figure6Batterysystemcomponentsandinternalcomponentsofabatterycell 20
Figure7Estimatedaveragecriticalmaterialmetalcontentofselectedlithium-ionEV
batterycathodes 21
Figure8GlobalEVbatterycathodechemistrymixesforpassengervehicles,2015-2023 22
Figure9GlobalEVbatteryanodechemistrymix,2015-2023 23
Figure10EstimatedaveragecriticalmaterialcompositionofselectedEVbatterypacks 24
Figure11Evolutionofhistoricalbatterychemistrymarketsharesforpassengervehicles,
2015-2022,andexplorativescenarios,2023-2030 27
Figure12EstimatedglobalshareofmaterialdemandfromEVbatteriesandotherapplications,
2022and2030 29
Figure13Regionallithium-ionbatterymanufacturingcapacityin2023andplanned
capacityfor2030 30
Figure14Materialsupplyin2023andrangeofestimatedsupplyin2030 32
Figure15Totalbatterymaterialexplorationexpenditure,2010-2023(real2023USDmillion) 33
Figure16Criticalmaterialsupplyanddemandin2023and2030 35
FigureA1.1LithiumdemandfromEVbatteriesandotherapplications,2022and2030 51
FigureA1.2LithiumdemandfromEVbatteriesby2030basedonIRENA’sbattery
chemistryscenarios 51
FigureA1.3Lithiumsupplyanddemandin2023and2030 52
FigureA1.4Lithiumsupplyanddemandbalancein2030basedonbatterysizesensitivityanalysis 53
FigureA1.5CobaltdemandfromEVbatteriesandotherapplications,2022and2030 55
FigureA1.6CobaltdemandfromEVbatteriesby2030basedonIRENA’sbattery
chemistryscenarios 55
FigureA1.7Cobaltsupplyanddemandin2023and2030 56
FigureA1.8Cobaltsupplyanddemandbalancein2030basedonbatterysizesensitivityanalysis 57
5
Figures,tablesandboxes
FigureA1.9GraphitedemandfromEVbatteriesandotherapplications,2022and2030 59
FigureA1.10GraphitedemandfromEVbatteriesby2030basedonIRENA’sbattery
chemistryscenarios 59
FigureA1.11Graphitesupplyanddemandin2023and2030 60
FigureA1.12NickeldemandfromEVbatteriesandotherapplications,2022and2030 61
FigureA1.13NickeldemandfromEVbatteriesby2030basedonIRENA’sbattery
chemistryscenarios 62
FigureA1.14Nickelsupplyanddemandin2023and2030 63
FigureA1.15RefinedcopperdemandfromEVbatteriesandotherapplications,2022and2030 64
FigureA1.16RefinedcopperdemandfromEVbatteriesby2030basedonIRENA’sbattery
chemistryscenarios 65
FigureA1.17Refinedcoppersupplyanddemandin2023and2030 66
FigureA1.18PhosphorousdemandfromEVbatteriesandotherapplications,2022and2030 68
FigureA1.19PhosphorousdemandfromEVbatteriesby2030basedonIRENA’sbattery
chemistryscenarios 68
FigureA1.20Phosphoroussupplyanddemandin2023and2030 69
FigureA1.21ManganesedemandfromEVbatteriesandotherapplications,2022and2030 70
FigureA1.22ManganesedemandfromEVbatteriesby2030basedonIRENA’sbattery
chemistryscenarios 71
FigureA1.23Manganesesupplyanddemandin2023and2030 72
TABLES
Table1OverviewofglobalresourcesforselectedEVbatterycriticalmaterials 15
Table2OverviewofcriticalmaterialdemandfromEVbatteriesbyscenario,2030 34
Table3Overviewofoverallsupply-demandbalanceestimations 36
Table4Overviewofkeymaterials 37
TableA2.1GlobalaverageEVbatterysizepervehiclesegment,2022and2030 73
TableA2.2EVbatterychemistrymixforcars/SUVs/vansbyscenario,2030 73
TableA2.3EVbatterychemistrymixformotorcyclesbyscenario,2030 74
TableA2.4EVbatterychemistrymixforbusesbyscenario,2030 74
TableA2.5EVbatterychemistrymixfortrucksbyscenario,2030 74
TableA2.6MaterialcompositionassumedperEVbatterytype,2022 75
TableA2.7Materialcompositionassumedpersodium-ionbatterytype 75
CRITICALMATERIALS:batteriesForeleCtriCVeHiCles
6
BOXES
Box1Sodium-ionbatteries 25
Box2Historicinvestmentsinexploration 33
ABBREVIATIONS
BEVbatteryelectricvehicle
ESGenvironmental,socialandgovernanceEVelectricvehicle
GWhgigawatthour
IRENAInternationalRenewableEnergyAgency
kgkilogram
kWhkilowatthour
LCElithiumcarbonateequivalentLFPlithiumironphosphate
LMFPlithiummanganeseironphosphate
LMOlithiummanganeseoxide
Mtmilliontonnes
NCAnickelcobaltaluminiumoxide
NMCnickelmanganesecobaltoxide
NMCAnickelmanganesecobaltaluminiumoxide
PHEVplug-inhybridelectricvehicle
PPApurifiedphosphoricacid
R&Dresearchanddevelopment
SUVsportsutilityvehicle
Whwatthour
EXECUTIVESUMMARY
Advancingtheenergytransitionwillrequireelectricvehicles(EVs)todominatepassengervehiclesalesby2030.In2023,theglobalstockofpassengerEVsstoodatabout44million.AchievingtheInternationalRenewableEnergyAgency’s(IRENA’s)1.5°CScenariorequiressignificantgrowthoftheglobalstock,to359million,by2030.Thiselectrificationimperativeextendstoallroadtransportsectors,includingthosepreviouslydeemedunsuitableforelectrification,such
aslong-haulroadfreight.
WhiletheoutlookforEVbatteryproductioncapacityispositive,ensuringanadequate,reliableandaffordablesupplyofthenecessaryrawmaterialsisessential.InlinewithIRENA’s1.5°CScenario,theelectrificationofroadtransportwouldrequireEVbatteries’annualproductiontogrowfive-foldbetween2023and2030.Eventhoughthecurrentplannedbatteryproductioncapacityfor2030(7300gigawatthours[GWh]/year)exceedstheanticipateddemandforEVbatteries(4300GWh/year),concertedeffortsarestillneededtosecurethenecessaryrawmaterialsforthesebatteries.
IncreasingdemandforEVswoulddriveupdemandforthematerialsusedinEVbatteries,suchasgraphite,lithium,cobalt,copper,phosphorous,manganeseandnickel.UnderIRENA’s1.5°CScenario,thedemandforlithiumfromEVbatteriescouldroughlyquadruplefrom2023to2030.Similarly,thedemandforcobalt,graphiteandnickelcouldmorethantriple.However,innovationsenablingthesubstitutionofthesematerialsarealreadyreducingdemand;cobaltandnickelwerenolongerusedinnearlyhalfofthepassengerEVssoldin2023.
Whileresourceavailabilityisnotaconstraintforthelong-termdecarbonisationofroadtransport,effortsareneededtoquicklyandeffectivelyscaleupproductiontomeetgrowingdemandintheshorttomediumterm.AshighlightedinpreviousIRENApublications,long-termavailabilityisamatterofexpandingproductionvolumeandensuringdiversityofsupply(Gielen,2021;IRENA,2023a).Forinstance,theannualdemandforlithiumisestimatedtobe2.5-3.1milliontonnesperyear(Mt/year)by2030,withreservesandresourcesstandingat150Mtand560Mt,respectively,indicatingamplesupply(USGS,2024).
7
CRITICALMATERIALS:BATTERIESFORELECTRICVEHICLES
8
Effectivelynavigatinguncertaintiesintheshorttomediumtermrequiresregularmonitoringandassessmentofmarketdynamicsandtechnologicaladvancementsaswellasmodellingvariousscenarios.Onthedemandside,uncertaintiesprimarilyresultfrompoliciessupportingEVdeploymentandtheirimpactontheprojectedvolumeofEVsales;disruptiveinnovation;andtheevolvingmarketshareofdifferentanodeandcathodechemistries,eachcharacterisedbydistinctmaterialcompositions.Onthesupplyside,uncertaintiesstemfromfactorssuchasfluctuatingmarketprices,regulatorychangesandpotentialdisruptionsinthevaluechainduetofactorssuchasnaturaldisasters,geopoliticaltensionsortradedisputes.
IRENAhasdevelopedasupply-demandanalysistounderstandandexplorepotentialbottlenecksby2030,assumingalevelofEVdeploymentalignedwiththe1.5°CScenario.
Withinthiscontext,threebatterychemistryscenariosareexamined.Thefirstscenario,consideredaTechnologyStagnationscenario,assumeslimitedinnovationandacontinuedhighshareofnickel-richchemistries.Thesecondscenario,consideredacontinuationofCurrentTrends,exploresanincreasingdominanceoflithiumironphosphate(LFP)andlithiummanganeseironphosphate(LMFP)batteries.1Thethirdscenario,regardedasanIncreasedInnovationscenario,assumestheprominenceofLFPandLMFPalongsideasignificantincreaseinemergingsodium-iontechnology.Togaugethelikelihoodofasupply-demandgapundereachscenario,arangeofsupplyprojectionsfromotherorganisationsisconsidered.
EVbatteriesarenotdrivingthedemandforallcriticalmaterialsinEVs.Otherindustriesandapplicationsinfluencingthesematerials’availabilityandpricingshouldnotbeoverlooked.
ThedemandforEVbatteriesisamajordriverofdemandforlithium,and–toalesserextent-cobalt,graphiteandnickel.However,copper,withanapproximately4%demandsharefromEVbatteriesby2030,isprimarilydrivenbyconstructionandpower-relatedinfrastructure.Similarly,thedemandsharesforphosphorusandmanganesefromEVbatteriesareestimatedtobeabout3%andonlyabout2%,respectively,by2030.
Withsustainableexpansionofmaterialsupplychains,complementedbycontinuedinnovationinbatterychemistries,countriescanmeetthegrowingdemandforEVbatterymaterials.ThisispossibleevenunderaveryfastadoptionofEVs,inlinewitha1.5°Cdecarbonisationpathway.
Acriticalfactorwillbethescale-upofmaterialsupplyinlinewithcurrentlyavailableforecasts.Beyondthat,fasteradoptionofinnovativebatterieswithlowercriticalmaterialrequirements(e.g.LFP,LMFPandsodium-ion)couldfurthermitigatepotentialshortagesofsomematerials,evenifminingdoesnotscaleupasrapidlyasexpected.Abroadrangeofoutcomesispossibledependingontheevolutionofmaterialsupplycapacityandtheeffectsoftechnologyinnovation.Forinstance,potentiallithiumsurplusesareestimatedat0.60Mt/year,orabout25%oftheestimateddemandin2030,whileshortagescouldreachupto1.3Mt/year,representingabout40%oftheestimateddemandin2030(Figure1).
1LFPreferstolithiumironphosphatebatteries,andLMFPreferstolithiummanganeseironphosphatebatteries.
9
exeCutiVesummary
FIGURE1Criticalmaterialsupplyanddemandin2023and2030
Graphite
3.53.02.52.01.51.00.50.0
8
6
4
2
Mt/year
0
42
36
30
24
18
12
6
0
28
24
20
16
12
8
4
0
Lithium
Copper
Manganese
Nickel
Phosphorous
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
Cobalt
Supplyin2023
Lowdemandin2030 Lowsupplyin2030Syntheticgraphite
Highdemandin2030Highsupplyin2030
Sources:Lithium–supplyin2023basedonUSGS(2024);supplyin2030basedonAlbemarle(2023),BNEF(2024a),ETC(2023),FitchSolutions(2022),JimenezandSaez(2022)andS&PGlobal(2023).Cobalt–supplyin2023basedonUSGS(2024);supplyanddemandin2030basedonBNEF(2024a),CobaltBlueHoldings(2022),Darbar(2022),ETC(2023),Fu(2020),PattersonandRankumar(2023)andS&PGlobal(2023).Graphite–supplyin2023basedonUSGS(2024);supply
in2030basedonBlackRockMining(2023),ETC(2023)andWSJ(2023).Nickel–supplyin2023basedonUSGS(2024);supplyin2030basedonBNEF(2024b),ETC(2023)andS&PGlobal(2023).Copper–supplyin2023basedon
USGS(2024);supplyin2030basedonBNEF(2024b),ETC(2023)andS&PGlobal(2023).Phosphorous–supplyin2023basedonBrownlieetal.(2022)andUSGS(2024);supplyin2030basedonIRENAanalysis.Manganese–supplyin2023basedonUSGS(2024);supplyin2030basedonJupiterMines(2023)andMcKinsey(2022).
Notes:Supplyestimatesincludeannounced,plannedandpotentialsupply.Lithiumisexpressedintermsoflithiumcarbonateequivalent(LCE).Copperreferstorefinedcopper.Thevaluesforphosphorousrefertoelementalphosphorous.Mt=milliontonnes.
CRITICALMATERIALS:BATTERIESFORELECTRICVEHICLES
10
Bothbatterychemistryandbatterysizehaveasignificantimpactonthemarketdynamicsofcriticalmaterials.Figure2featuresthreegraphsforeachcriticalmaterial.Eachgraphrepresentsadifferentbatterychemistryscenario.Thegraphsplotthepotentialmarketbalanceonthey-axisagainstvariousbatterysizesonthex-axis.Theyshowcasehoweachfactorcontributestosupply-demandrelationshipsforcriticalmaterials.TheaveragesizeofEVbatteries,estimatedtoplateauatabout57kilowatthours(kWh),iscrucialasitdirectlycorrelateswiththedemandforbatterymaterials(BNEF,2024a;Krishna,2023).ThesensitivityanalysisdepictedinFigure2considersarangeofestimatedsupplyandusecolourcoding:theyellowareaindicatespotentialmarketshortfalls,whilethegreenareahighlightspotentialsurpluses.Orangedotsrepresentthemarketbalanceunderconditionsoflowsupply,whilegreendotsdenotethebalanceunderhigh-supplyscenarios.
LITHIUM
NICKEL
COBALT
COPPER
MANGANESE
GRAPHITE
PHOSPHOROUS
11
exeCutiVesummary
FIGURE2Sensitivityanalysisofsupply-demandbalancebasedonaveragebatterysizeand
batterychemistry
TechnologyStagnationscenarioCurrentTrendsscenarioIncreasedInnovationscenario
1.501.000.500.00-0.50-1.00-1.50
Lithium(LCE)
0.250.200.150.100.050.00-0.05-0.10-0.15-0.20-0.25
Mt
3.00
1.50
0.00
-1.50
-3.00
Cobalt
Graphite
2.001.501.000.500.00-0.50-1.00-1.50-2.00
Nickel
505560657050556065705055606570
kWh
oDe?citoSurplusoLowsupplyoHighsupply
Notes:kWh=kilowatthour;LCE=lithiumcarbonateequivalent;Mt=milliontonnes.
CRITICALMATERIALS:BATTERIESFORELECTRICVEHICLES
12
Basedontheanalysisoffactorsaffectingbothsupplyanddemandby2030,thefollowingperspectivesarepresentedforeachmaterial:
?Thedemandforlithiumremainslargelyunaffectedbythechoiceofbatterychemistry,sincemostEVbatterytechnologiesdependonit.Sodium-ionbatteries,whichdonotrelyonlithium,mayentertheEVbatterymarketlaterinthedecade,buttheirimpactonreducinglithiumdemandwilllikelybemoresignificantafter2030.Long-termavailabilityoflithiumisnotaconstraint.Instead,addressingpotentiallithiumdeficitswillsignificantlyrelyonexpandingthesupplychainorreducingdemandthroughimprovementoftheenergydensity2ofexistinglithium-ionbatteries.
?CobaltcanbesubstitutedwiththeintegrationoftechnologiessuchasLFPandLMFP,rapidlyreducingcobalt’scriticalityforroadtransportelectrification.However,cobaltsupplyshortfallscouldbepossibleinscenarioswherecobalt-containingbatteries,suchasnickelmanganese
cobaltoxide(NMC)andnickelcobaltaluminiumoxide(NMCA),remainwidespread.
?Basedoncurrentsupplyprojections,naturalgraphitewilllikelybeinsufficienttomeetallexpectedgraphitedemandby2030.Syntheticgraphite,althoughmoreenergyintensive,couldbescaleduptobridgethesupplygap.Beyondthat,atransitiontowardsanodeswithincreasedsiliconcontentisalreadyoccurringandcouldfurtherreducepressureonthematerial.
?NickeldemandhasalreadybeencontainedbytheriseofLFPandLMFPbatteries.Afurthertransitionfromnickel-richbatteriestootherchemistrieswouldmakesupplyshortagesunlikely,unlessthesupplymaterialisesatthelowerendofthecurrentsupplyprojectionsrange.
?Thedemandforcopper,phosphorousandmanganesefromtheEVmarketisexpectedtorepresentonlyasmallshareofglobaldemandforthesematerials.Therefore,itsimpactonshapingsupplyanddemanddynamicswillberelativelyminorcomparedwithdemandfromlargersectors.However,addressingissuessurroundingbattery-gradepurifiedphosphoricacidandhigh-puritymanganesesulphateemergesasthemostpressingconcern,requiringconcertedactionstorapidlyexpandtheirsupplychains.
Innovationhasalreadydecreasedthedemandforcriticalmaterialssignificantly.Forinstance,LFPbatteries,whichhadasingle-digitmarketsharein2015,capturedanestimated44%ofthepassengervehiclemarketin2023.Projecting2023’scobaltandnickeldemandfiveyearsprior–consideringthemixofbatterychemistriesatthetime–wouldhaveledtosignificantoverestimationsofdemand.Forinstance,cobaltandnickeldemandfromEVbatterieswouldhavebeenabout50%higher.
2Inthisreport,energydensityreferstogravimetricenergydensity.
13
exeCutiVesummary
AdvancesinEVbatterytechnologyhavealsoimprovedgravimetricenergydensitysignificantly,a30%increase,onaverage,forbatterycellsand60%forbatterypacksoverthepastdecade(BNEF,2024).Theseadvancesnotonlyboostenergyperformanceanddrivedowncosts,theyalsoplayasignificantroleinreducingmaterialdemand.Furtherimprovementsarestillpossible.Forinstance,ContemporaryAmperexTechnologyCo.,Limited(CATL)andNorthvolthavedevelopedasodium-ionbatterywithanenergydensityof160watthourperkilogramme(Wh/kg);theyareplanningforthenextgenerationtoexceed200Wh/kg(CATL,2023;Northvolt,2023).Moreover,CATLhasunveiledacondensedbatterycell,which,throughchemicalanddesigninnovation,isabletoachieveagravimetricenergydensityof500Wh/kg(CATL,2023).Thismarkedlysurpassesthetypicalenergydensityof250-300Wh/kginnickel-richbatteries(Ringbeck,2024).Designpresentsanotheravenueforinnovation.Forexample,BYDhascommercialisedthecell-to-packtechnologyandisnowadvancingtocell-to-bodytechnology.Thislatestapproachfurtherincreasesenergydensitybyintegratingbatterycellsdirectlyintoacar’sbody,therebycompletelyeliminatingtheneedforatraditionalbatterypack(BYD,2023;WEF,2023).
Innovationemergesasthecentralcomponentinaddressingpotentialbottlenecks,offeringpathwaystoreducedemandandbolstersupply.Amonginnovations,advancementsinEVbatterycathodes,notablyLFPandLMFP,alongsideemergingtechnologies,suchassodium-ion,couldalleviate,ifnotentirelyeliminate,thedemandforsomematerials.ContinuousimprovementinenergydensitythroughinnovativedesignandengineeringcouldpositionLFPandLMFPaschallengerstonickel-richbatteries’dominanceinhigh-endEVmarketsegments.Overcomingsodium-iontechnology’schallengescouldleadtostructuraladvancements,bypartiallyorcompletelyeliminatingtheneedforsomematerials,forexample,lithium,cobaltandgraphite.Moreover,innovationinminingandprocessingcouldalleviatepressuresonthesupplyside,enablingtimely,cost-effectiveandsustainableproductionofmaterials.
ThisreportdetailsseveralactionsforgovernmentsandstakeholdersacrosstheEVbatterysupplychaintoensureanadequate,reliable,sustainableandaffordablesupplyofcriticalmaterialsforEVbatteriesby2030.
Toaddresspotentialmaterialbottlenecks,governmentscanplayakeyroleinacceleratingandsupportinginnovationaimedatreducingoreliminatingtheuseofcriticalmaterialsinEVbatteries.Examplesofpossibleinnovationsincludeadvancementsincathodeandanodetechnologies,andimprovementsinbatterydesignandengineeringtoboostenergydensityandreducematerialuse.GiventherapidevolutionofEVbatterytechnologies,governments,miningandprocessingcompanies,andbatterymanufacturerscanmonitormarketscloselyandfrequentlyandincreaseindustryengagementtostayabreastofthelatesttrendsandbreakthroughsininnovation.GovernmentsmayalsofacilitateareductionofcriticalmaterialdemandbysupportingtheaccelerateddeploymentofEVcharginginfrastructure,supportingtheadoptionofEVswithsma
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