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1、Chapter 15ANSWERS TO QUESTIONS 1. The snowstorm would cause float to increase, which would increase the monetary base. To counteract this effect, the manager will undertake a defensive open market sale of securities using a reverse repo transaction. 這場暴風雪將使浮款上升,這將增加貨幣基礎。為了抵消這種影響,經理將采用逆回購交易進行防御性公開市場銷
2、售。2. When the publics holding of currency increases during holiday periods, the currencycheckable deposits ratio increases and the money supply falls. To counteract this decline in the money supply, the Fed will conduct a defensive open market purchase of securities. 在節假日期間,當公眾持有貨幣升值時,現金/存款比率增加,貨幣供應
3、量下降。為了抵消貨幣供應的下降,美聯儲將采取防御性的公開市場購買證券。3. As we saw in Chapter 14, when the Treasurys deposits at the Fed fall, the monetary base increases. To counteract this increase, the manager would undertake an open market sale of securities. 正如我們在第14章所看到的,當財政部的存款下降時,貨幣基礎會增加。為了抵消這種增長,經理將采取公開市場出售證券。4. Because the
4、decrease in float is only temporary, the monetary base is expected to decline only temporarily. A repurchase agreement only temporarily injects reserves into the banking system, so it is a sensible way of counteracting the temporary decline in the monetary base due to the decline in float. 因為浮動的減少只是
5、暫時的,貨幣基礎只會暫時下降。回購協議只是暫時將儲備注入銀行體系,因此,由于浮款的下降,這是抵消貨幣基礎暫時下降的一種明智的方式。5. False. The Fed also can affect the level of borrowed reserves by directly limiting the amount of loans to an individual bank or the broader financial system. 美聯儲還可以通過直接將貸款額度限制在單個銀行或更廣泛的金融體系,從而影響借入準備金的水平。6. Uncertain. In theory, the
6、market for reserves model indicates that once the fed funds rate reaches the discount rate, it would never surpass the discount rate since banks would then borrow directly from the Fed, and not in the fed funds market, which would prevent the fed funds rate from ever rising above the discount rate.
7、However, in practice, the fed funds rate can (and has) been above the discount rate. This may occur due to the stigma associated with banks borrowing directly from the Fed; i.e., banks may prefer to pay a higher market rate than to borrow directly from the Fed and incur the perceived stigma. In addi
8、tion, nonbank financial institutions, which do not have access to the discount window, can and do participate in the federal funds market. The extent to which nonbank financial companies participate in the fed funds market may mean that the gap when the fed funds rate is above the discount rate may
9、not be arbitraged away.不確定。理論上,市場準備金模型表明,一旦聯邦基金利率達到貼現率,它永遠不會超越貼現率由于銀行會直接向美聯儲借錢,而不是在聯邦基金市場,這將阻止聯邦基金利率上升高于貼現率。然而,實際上,聯邦基金利率可以(也有)高于貼現率。這可能是由于銀行直接從美聯儲借款會留下污點;即銀行可能傾向于支付更高的市場利率,而不是直接從美聯儲借款而留下污點。此外,那些沒有貼現窗口渠道的非銀行金融機構也可以并確實參與聯邦基金市場。非銀行金融公司參與美聯儲基金市場的程度可能意味著,當聯邦基金利率高于貼現率的時候,這一差距可能不會被套利。7. Uncertain. In theo
10、ry, the market for reserves model indicates that once the fed funds rate reaches the interest rate on reserves, it would never go below this rate since banks could then earn a risk-free interest rate paid directly from the Fed, rather than loaning excess reserves in the more risky fed funds market a
11、t an equivalent or lower rate; this should prevent the fed funds rate from ever falling below the interest rate paid on reserves. However, in practice, the fed funds rate can (and has) been below the interest rate paid on reserves. This is because nonbank financial institutions, which cannot earn in
12、terest on reserves, participate in the federal funds market and provide a significant amount of funding to the market. The extent to which nonbank financial companies participate in the fed funds market may mean that the gap when the fed funds rate is below the interest rate on reserves may not be a
13、rbitraged away. 不確定。理論上,市場準備金模型表明,一旦聯邦基金利率達到準備金利率,它永遠不會低于這個利率,由于銀行可以直接從美聯儲獲得無風險利率,而不是出借超額準備金在風險更高的聯邦基金市場獲取同等或更低的利率;這將防止聯邦基金利率從低于準備金率的水平下降。然而,在實踐中,聯邦基金利率可以(也有)低于準備金支付的利率。這是因為那些無法獲得準備金利息的非銀行金融機構參與聯邦基金市場,并向市場提供大量資金。非銀行金融公司參與美聯儲基金市場的程度可能意味著,當聯邦基金利率低于準備金利率時,這一差距可能不會被套利。8. During crises, the Fed may need
14、to provide a large amount of liquidity to the banking and financial system, which would reduce the fed funds rate. If the Fed needs to sterilize these effects, it would need to conduct open market sales of securities to maintain a given fed funds rate target. If the liquidity provision is large, the
15、n offsetting the liquidity could eventually result in the Fed running out of securities to sell. In this case, the interest rate on reserves can be raised to push the fed funds rate up, without having to conduct offsetting open market sales that decrease the holdings of government securities by the
16、Fed.在危機期間,美聯儲可能需要向銀行和金融體系提供大量流動性,從而降低聯邦基金利率。如果美聯儲需要消除這些影響,就需要公開市場銷售證券,以維持既定的聯邦基金利率目標。如果流動性供應很大,那么抵消流動性的影響最終可能會導致美聯儲沒有證券出售。在這種情況下,可以提高準備金利率,以推動聯邦基金利率上升,而不必采取抵消公開市場銷售的方式,減少美聯儲持有的政府債券。9. Repurchase agreements are used because they are temporary, and allow the Fed to adjust open market operations relati
17、vely easy in response to day-to-day changes in conditions in the market for reserves. 之所以使用回購協議,是因為它們是暫時的,并允許美聯儲調整公開市場操作,相對容易地應對準備金市場的日常變化。10. It suggests that defensive open market operations are far more common than dynamic operations because repurchase agreements are used primarily to conduct def
18、ensive operations to counteract temporary changes in the monetary base. 這表明,防御性的公開市場操作比能動性操作更為常見,因為回購協議主要用于進行防御性的操作,以抵消貨幣基礎的臨時變化。11. Because of the large amount of liquidity in banks and the financial system, this could eventually lead to substantial inflation problems as liquidity in the form of ex
19、cess reserves leaves the banking system through bank lending and ends up as deposits or currency in the hands of the public. But because of the longer maturities of some of the assets held by the Fed, these assets may not be easily drawn off the balance sheet in order to remove liquidity from banks
20、and financial markets. As a result, reverse repos could be used to temporarily but continually remove reserves from the banking system until the longer maturity securities can be drawn off the balance sheet of the Fed. 由于銀行和金融體系中大量的流動性,這最終可能會導致大量的通貨膨脹問題,因為超額準備金的流動性將使銀行系統通過銀行貸款,最終成為公眾手中的存款或貨幣。但由于美聯儲持
21、有的部分資產的期限較長,這些資產可能不容易從資產負債表中提取出來,以消除銀行和金融市場的流動性。因此,反向回購可能暫時被用于銀行體系,直到期限較長的證券從美聯儲的資產負債表中提取出來。12. This statement is false. The FDIC alone would likely be ineffective in eliminating bank panics without the Feds ability to provide discount loans to troubled banks to keep bank failures from spreading. In
22、 particular, the FDICs insurance only covers about 1% of total bank deposits. Since the Fed has unlimited ability to provide loans to the banking system, it can be much more effective in stabilizing the banking system in a panic. 這種說法是錯誤的。如果美聯儲沒有能力向陷入困境的銀行提供貼現貸款,以防止銀行倒閉,那么FDIC就可能在消除銀行恐慌方面無能為力。特別是,FD
23、IC的保險只占銀行存款總額的1%。由于美聯儲有無限能力向銀行系統提供貸款,因此在恐慌中穩定銀行系統會更加有效。13. Providing loans to financial institutions creates a moral hazard problem. If firms know that they will have access to Fed loans, they are more likely to take on risk, knowing that the Fed will bail them out if a panic should occur. As a resu
24、lt, banks that deserve to go out of business because of poor management may survive because of Fed liquidity provision to prevent panics. This might lead to an inefficient banking system with many poorly run banks. 向金融機構提供貸款會造成道德風險。如果企業知道他們將獲得美聯儲貸款,他們就更有可能承擔風險,因為他們知道如果出現恐慌,美聯儲將會救助他們。其結果是,由于缺乏管理能力,那些
25、理應破產的銀行可能會存活下來,原因是美聯儲提供了防止恐慌的流動性。這可能導致銀行體系效率低下,許多經營不善的銀行。14. This statement is false. 15. Open market operations are more flexible, reversible, and faster to implement than the other two tools. Discount policy is more flexible, reversible, and faster to implement than changing reserve requirements,
26、but it is less effective than either of the other two tools. 16. It proved to be more widely used because the interest rate on these loans was set through a competitive process, and that interest rate was less (in some cases much less) than the discount rate. In addition, because of the structure of
27、 the Term Auction Facility there was some anonymity in the banks that were accessing these funds, which helped to avoid the stigma associated with discount window lending. 17. Since short-term interest rates cannot be lowered below the zero bound in this environment, conventional monetary policy wou
28、ld be ineffective. Thus, the main advantage of quantitative easing is that purchases of intermediate and longer term securities could reduce longer-term interest rates, increase the money supply further, and lead to expansion. One disadvantage of quantitative easing is that it may not actually have
29、the effect of increasing economic activity through greater loans and monetary expansion: If credit and financial markets are significantly damaged, banks may simply hold the extra liquidity as excess reserves, which would not lead to greater loans and monetary expansion. 18. By purchasing particular
30、 types of securities, the Fed can impact interest rates and liquidity in particular sectors of credit and financial markets, thereby providing a more surgical provision of liquidity where it may be needed the most (as opposed to typical open market purchases, which add reserves to the general bankin
31、g system). For example, as a result of the global financial crisis the Fed purchased a significant amount of mortgage-backed securities from government sponsored enterprises, which helped to lower mortgage rates and support the housing market.通過購買特定類型的證券,美聯儲可以影響特定行業的信貸和金融市場的利率和流動性 ,而不是典型的公開市場購買,增加一般
32、銀行系統的準備金。例如,由于全球金融危機,美聯儲從政府支持的企業購買了大量抵押貸款支持證券,這有助于降低抵押貸款利率,支持住房市場。19. The main advantage to an unconditional policy commitment is that it provides a significant amount of transparency and certainty, which makes it easier for markets and households to make decisions about the future. The main disadva
33、ntage is that it represents a tacit commitment by the central bank; if conditions suddenly change where a change in the policy stance may be warranted, then holding to the commitment could be destabilizing. On the other hand, not strictly maintaining the commitment could then be viewed as reneging o
34、n a promise, and the central bank could lose significant credibility.無條件政策承諾的主要好處是,它提供了大量的透明度和確定性,這使得市場和家庭更容易對未來做出決定。主要的缺點是它代表了中央銀行的默認承諾,如果條件突然改變,政策立場的改變可能是必要的,那么堅持承諾可能會破壞穩定。另一方面,如果不嚴格遵守承諾,那么就會被視為食言,而央行可能會失去相當大的可信度。ANSWERS TO APPLIED PROBLEMS 20. The switch from deposits into currency lowers the amo
35、unt of reserves as was shown in the T-accounts of Chapter 14, and this lowers the supply of reserves at any given interest rate, thus shifting the supply curve to the left. The fall in deposits also leads to lower required reserves and hence a shift in the demand curve to the left. However, because
36、the fall in required reserves is only a fraction of the fall in the supply of reserves (because the required reserve ratio is much less than one), the supply curve shifts left by more than the demand curve. Thus if the discount rate is initially above the fed funds target, the fed funds rate will ri
37、se (as shown in the graph below). However, if the fed funds rate is at the discount rate, then the fed funds rate will remain at the discount rate.從存款到現金的轉換降低了準備金的數量,正如第14章的t帳戶所顯示的那樣,這降低了任何給定利率下準備金供給,從而使供給曲線向左平移。存款下降也會導致需求減少,因此需求曲線會向左移。然而,由于準備金率的下降只是儲備貨幣供應量下降的一小部分(因為準備金率遠低于1),因此供給曲線的變化幅度大于需求曲線。因此,如果
38、貼現率最初高于美聯儲基金目標,美聯儲基金利率將上升(如下圖所示)。然而,如果聯邦基金利率處于貼現率,那么聯邦基金利率將保持在貼現率。21. In most cases, the discount rate is set far enough above the fed funds target rate such that, even if there was a reduction in the discount rate with no change in the target fed funds rate, the equilibrium rate would still be belo
39、w the discount rate, thus banks would still be better off borrowing at the market rate rather than the discount rate. In other words, even if the discount rate decreases, the amount of borrowed reserves may not change since the equilibrium will still fall below the discount rate, as shown in the gra
40、ph below.在大多數情況下,貼現率設置足夠遠高于聯邦基金目標利率,即使有降低貼現率而目標聯邦基金利率沒有變化,均衡利率仍將低于貼現率,因此,銀行仍將偏好于以市場利率(而非貼現率) 借款。換句話說,即使貼現率下降,由于均衡仍低于貼現率,借入準備金的數額可能不會改變,如下圖所示。22. (a) A rise in checkable deposits leads to a rise in required reserves at any given interest rate, and thus shifts the demand curve to the right. If the fed
41、eral funds rate is initially below the discount rate, this then leads to a rise in the federal funds rate. As shown below, borrowed reserves and non-borrowed reserves do not change. If the federal funds rate is initially at the discount rate, then the federal funds rate will just remain at the disco
42、unt rate, but borrowed reserves will increase.支票存款的增加會導致任何給定利率的準備金率的上升,從而使需求曲線向右平移。如果聯邦基金利率最初低于貼現率,那么這將導致聯邦基金利率的上升。如下所示,借入準備金和非借入準備金不變。如果聯邦基金利率最初是貼現率,那么聯邦基金利率將保持在貼現率,但借入準備金會增加。(b) If banks expect that an unusually large increase in withdrawals will occur in the future, they will want to hold more ex
43、cess reserves today, meaning the demand for reserves will increase at any given interest rate. This will have the same effect on the fed funds rate, NBR, and BR as in part (a) above. 如果銀行預期未來會出現異常大規模的提款,他們將希望在今天持有更多的超額準備金,這意味著對準備金的需求將在任何給定的利率下增加。這將對聯邦基金利率、NBR和BR(a)部分產生同樣的影響。(c) To raise the target fed funds rate, the Fed will have to conduct an open market sale of securities, which will shift the supply of non-bor
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